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11

Mar 2026

澳元/美元升至接近0.7170，因市场预期澳洲联储立场鹰派而逼近三年高位

澳元兑美元升至0.7170逼近三年高位，市场押注RBA偏鹰、下周加息25基点概率75%。技术面偏多；关注0.7120支撑、0.7240阻力。油价与铁矿石亦左右走势。

11

Mar 2026

德国商业银行称，因霍尔木兹海峡关闭迫使中东产油国减产670万桶/日，布伦特与WTI油价剧烈波动

霍尔木兹海峡近乎关闭引爆油价过山车：布伦特单日81–95美元震荡。中东减产670万桶/日，G7促IEA备战释储。高波动下，期权与垂直价差成关键对冲工具。

11

Mar 2026

欧市早盘，受市场质疑日本央行收紧步伐影响，日元走弱，欧元/日元升至184.00附近

欧日逼近184，日元走软：市场押注日央行暂按兵不动、欧元利差占优，套息交易再升温。但中东冲突与霍尔木兹风险或触发避险回流。

11

Mar 2026

澳元/日元四连涨扩大至113中段，受澳洲央行或加息押注及日元疲弱推动，触及1990年以来高位

AUD/JPY连涨四日逼近118，创1990来高位；市场押注RBA下周或加息、日银升息预期降温。高利差驱动套息续航，但警惕日方口头干预与澳洲通胀降温引发回吐。

11

Mar 2026

纽元/美元交投于0.5930附近、低于0.5950，风险厌恶情绪抵消2026年纽储行加息带来的纽元走强

纽美徘徊0.5930：中东冲突推升油价与美元避险压制纽元；但通胀顽固令市场押注RBNZ或2026加息支撑。短线偏空看0.5900，波动高企可用跨式/看跌布局。

11

Mar 2026

油价走低与美元走软令加元买盘趋于谨慎，美元/加元维持在低位附近

USD/CAD亚洲盘仍受压，油价因IEA释储回落本撑加元，但美元遭抛售限制反弹。市场紧盯美国CPI与美联储降息预期，中东风险与油价波动成关键。

11

Mar 2026

在日本央行前景不明朗之际，日元跌破158.50，美元兑日元走高，市场聚焦美国CPI

美元/日元再逼158.30成市场焦点：BoJ政策与政治杂音压日元，交易员盯美国CPI。美通胀黏、日银更趋收紧，利差交易退潮，波动升温。

11

Mar 2026

IEA计划实施史上最大规模战略石油释放，以抑制原油价格，并应对美以与伊朗紧张局势

油价因美以伊冲突飙升，IEA拟史上最大规模释储压价，WTI回落至82美元；OPEC+严减产、美国产量高企拉锯，隐波高企，远期曲线偏多。

11

Mar 2026

亚洲早盘交易时段，避险需求降温提振欧元，欧元/美元守在1.1620附近

欧元兑美元反弹至1.1620，中东忧虑降温削弱美元避险买盘。但以伊冲突未明仍添变数；焦点转向德HICP与美CPI，期权策略捕捉区间或突破。

11

Mar 2026

亚洲时段，IEA准备史上最大规模释出石油储备，WTI回落至81.70美元附近

WTI回落至81.70美元：IEA酝酿史上最大抛储压价，但以伊冲突升级、霍尔木兹受阻与海湾减产600万桶，供应风险随时引爆油价反弹。

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