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Live Updates

20

Mar 2026

在内塔尼亚胡发表言论后，交易员预期伊朗冲突将更快结束，美股指数回升50个基点

一句“战争更快结束”引爆标题风险：美股尾盘反弹、油价急转。霍尔木兹紧张下，VIX升温。策略上宜买SPY虚值认沽，或原油认沽价差，抢波动红利。

20

Mar 2026

在反弹30%后，Netflix大幅回落，全球流媒体业务关键支撑位面临考验

Netflix股价反弹后转弱，跌破通道中线$100.26并下探$90.58关键下影线。守不住恐看$87.60/$84.63乃至$75；守住则回攻$100.26、$104.54，回调可布局期权收权利金。

20

Mar 2026

Trade Desk 难以突破持续趋势线，科技股整体图表中数月严重跑输表现下更显乏力

TTD程序化广告股自56美元高点转跌，趋势线压制23–24美元，21.10支撑失守后探18。业绩增速放缓加剧卖压；策略看沽或价差，反弹则卖现金担保沽。

20

Mar 2026

尽管近期交易时段波动剧烈，DocuSign股价仍持平；财报公布后一度低开3%

DOCU业绩后先跌后稳，但日线仍困上升平行通道偏空。关注下沿破位确认或回抽做空；可用2026年看跌期权/卖价外看涨价差控风险。竞争与企业支出放缓添压。

20

Mar 2026

阿根廷2月月度贸易余额达7.88亿美元，低于预期的9.71亿美元

阿根廷2月贸易顺差7.88亿美元低于预期，美元流入减少，令比索承压。NDF暗示30天或跌2%-3%。留意ARS期货/看跌期权及ARGT对冲机会。

20

Mar 2026

美元/瑞郎在北美时段走弱，美元下滑带动汇价逼近0.7900，尽管瑞士央行（SNB）出手干预

美元走弱拖累USD/CHF回吐，失守200日线回落0.7900。关注0.7950多头再起与0.7897、0.7800支撑。SNB口头干预+降息或再掀政策波动，期权提前布局。

20

Mar 2026

利率按兵不动后，投资者作出反应；美元指数（DXY）跌破100至99.40，鲍威尔警告能源推升通胀

美联储偏鹰令美元指数跌破100，能源推高通胀或延后降息；欧央行、英央行按兵不动推欧元英镑走强，日元升值。油金回落，周五关注人民币中间价、欧元区PPI及加零售。

20

Mar 2026

澳元/美元上涨0.47%，美元走弱；站上50日均线，0.7050附近上看0.7100

美元走弱推升AUD/USD至0.7050，技术面仍偏多；上破0.7100看0.7200，失守0.6981/0.6944恐转弱。中国需求与利差主导，波动率或低估，考虑长跨式押突破。

20

Mar 2026

金价暴跌逾4.5%跌破4,600美元，因美国国债收益率飙升将美联储降息预期推迟至2027年

金价周四暴跌逾4.5%至4,588美元，美债收益率上扬压制。美联储等央行按兵不动、点阵图偏鹰。伊朗袭击推高能源风险，4,577美元成关键支撑位。

20

Mar 2026

银价从低位反弹，受美元与美债收益率回落提振，但在利率预期转变下仍承压

白银周四自低位反弹，美元与美债息回落助稳；但在央行偏向“高利率更久”下，不生息资产承压。关键看100日均线：守住或下探64、55？

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