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Live Updates

26

Mar 2026

中国人民银行将下个交易时段美元兑人民币中间价定在6.9056，较此前的6.8911上调

人民币中间价一夜转弱：PBOC周四定在6.9056（前值6.8911），释放“可控走弱”信号。出口疲弱或促容忍贬值；USD/CNH隐波或升，关注RRR等配套操作。

26

Mar 2026

日本企业服务价格指数2月同比增速升至2.7%，略高于前值2.6%

日本2月企业服务价格指数按年升2.7%创新高，通胀黏性显现；春斗加薪助推下，市场押注日银提前加息，日元与日债收益率或再走强。

26

Mar 2026

3月外资投资日本股票改善至-20亿日元，较此前的-17,726亿日元显著回升

外资卖压急冻：3月对日股净卖出缩至仅¥-20亿，较前期¥-1.77兆大幅改善。日经225或筑底，日银趋稳；衍生品可谨慎偏多布局反弹。

26

Mar 2026

澳元/美元徘徊于0.6950附近，地缘政治忧虑提振美元需求；澳元早盘小幅走高

澳元微升逼近0.6950，受美伊冲突与避险情绪牵动；澳洲通胀仍高于RBA目标，能源风险或延后降息。关注0.7000阻力、0.6900支撑。RSI走弱。

26

Mar 2026

澳洲联储官员Christopher Kent警告，中东冲突若长期持续，可能加剧经济损害；在能源价格上涨之际，通胀控制恐更趋复杂

中东冲突拖长恐引爆油价与通胀螺旋！RBA警告金融环境已收紧，必要时更紧政策压通胀；市场或重估加息、债息上扬，澳元波动加剧。

26

Mar 2026

星展银行经济学家林伟恩与Daisy Sharma预测，中国首季GDP增长将从4.5%上升至4.7%

中国1Q26 GDP即时预测回升至4.7%，工业与出口强劲撑盘；全年料放缓至4.5%且油价或拖累0.5点。策略：短多沪深300、买工业出口股Call；以地产ETF Put与长跨式、USD/CNH期权对冲波动。

26

Mar 2026

纽元/美元徘徊在0.5800附近，受强势美元、地缘政治不确定性及美国国债收益率高企打压

纽元/美元受美元走强、地缘紧张与利差偏美压制，0.5800附近震荡偏空；RSI弱、均线下行。紧盯0.5780支撑与0.5867阻力，期权偏向做空。

26

Mar 2026

BNY 的 Geoff Yu 表示，与伊朗相关的能源冲击正对亚太支付造成压力，并牵动马币、泰铢、澳元、菲律宾比索资金流向

伊朗冲突拖累APAC货币：能源、氦气与尿素推升进口成本，引发贸易条件冲击。北亚较有韧性，东南亚与澳洲承压。策略：期权做空PHP、对冲MYR/THB，AUD转复杂。

26

Mar 2026

美元/瑞郎连续第二个交易日走高，上涨0.45%，自0.7900上方的100日均线反弹，目标指向200日均线

USD/CHF 连涨反弹近0.45%，受地缘风险撑美元与SNB意外降息拖累瑞郎。RSI偏强，突破0.7946看0.8000/0.8040。政策分化成主线，期权布局看涨。

26

Mar 2026

星展银行经济学家拉迪卡·拉奥评估印尼在地缘政治不确定性与全球情绪波动下的在岸市场重开动向

开斋节长假后印尼在岸市场重开，地缘政治与情绪反复令印尼盾交易更谨慎。能源成本与供应紧张或促居家办公等措施；通胀升温，宽松空间受限。

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