Live Updates

30

Mar 2026

德国3月年度协调消费者通胀率符合预期，报2.8%，与市场预估一致

德国3月HICP按年升2.8%符合预期，惊喜缺席或压低波动率。通胀仍高于ECB目标，降息料更偏7月；期权卖方与EURIBOR仓位需防延后风险。

30

Mar 2026

德国月度消费者价格指数超预期，3月上升1.1%，高于预期的0.9%

德国3月CPI月增1.1%超预期，打乱ECB夏季降息剧本：6月降息押注降温、欧元冲破1.0950，利率与外汇波动或飙升，DAX高位警戒。

30

Mar 2026

在伊朗袭击打击EGA与Alba后，铝供应趋紧带动价格上涨，海湾地区减产进一步加剧

伊朗袭击波及EGA与巴林Alba，海湾铝供应再受挫。LME铝价早盘飙6%至3492美元/吨。56万吨产能减产，8%-9%供应风险，霍尔木兹航线成关键。

30

Mar 2026

特朗普称美国正与伊朗新政权进行严肃会谈，并警告若谈判破裂将打击其能源设施

美伊“严肃谈判”推进，特朗普却扬言若霍尔木兹不解封将轰伊朗能源设施。油市押注大波动：看涨冲110，看跌护盘，OVX飙至48。

30

Mar 2026

Bob Savage称，随着情绪指数跌破100，欧元在1.15附近走弱，美元维持高位

欧元遭滞胀与能源阴霾重压，EUR/USD逼近1.15。欧盟/欧元区景气跌破长期均值、Sentix转弱；月底再平衡乏力。期权波动升，市场偏逢高卖出、买入下行保护。

30

Mar 2026

分析师预计XAU/USD反弹将持续，或有望上探约5,000美元，支撑黄金看涨前景

金价自4,100美元强弹重返4,532并站稳4,500，动能修复；美元与美债收益率走强压制。关注4,610阻力，突破看4,735/5,040；下方支撑4,355/4,100。央行续买金添底气。

30

Mar 2026

印度累计工业产出2月份升至4.1%，略高于此前的4%水平

印度累计工业产出增速回升至4.1%释韧性，叠加制造业PMI强劲，支撑Nifty偏多与卖虚值Put收权利金；惟5.2%CPI黏着，宜用牛市价差控风险。

30

Mar 2026

根据2月制造业数据发布，印度工业产出增长5.2%，超出预期的4.7%

印度2月工业产出飙5.2%超预期，经济动能更强！利多Nifty/Bank Nifty与周期股；降息概率降、债券需谨慎；卢比或走强，USD/INR可偏空布局。

30

Mar 2026

华侨银行策略师认为，黄金反弹属技术性走势，此前伊朗冲突爆发以来已下跌20%

金价反弹多属超卖触发的技术回升，短线仍有空间但续航存疑。4,624/4,670/4,850成关键阻力；高实际收益率压制，期权宜卖call或建熊市价差。

30

Mar 2026

数据显示，白银报每盎司70.92美元，较周五的69.90美元上涨1.46%。

白银周一反弹至70.92美元/盎司，日涨1.46%，今年仍微跌0.23%。金银比降至63.97，白银相对走强。关注美元、利率、地缘风险及工业需求驱动后市。

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