Live Updates

6

Apr 2026

市场情绪改善提振英镑，兑美元吸引买盘，升0.45%至1.3255附近

伊朗评估停火提案触发风险偏好，英镑兑美元升至1.3255、美元指数回落。英伦银行或因油价冲击偏鹰，叠加高通胀与隐波走高，英镑波动料续。

6

Apr 2026

美元/加元跌近1.3920，因美伊停火前景改善提振市场情绪，加元走强

停火传闻降温避险、美元转弱，USD/CAD 回落至1.3920附近；但霍尔木兹风险与油价波动仍限跌。期权隐波飙升，交易员可借看跌期权控风险。

6

Apr 2026

三菱日联金融集团（MUFG）刘德昌：伊朗紧张局势、收益率走高、就业强劲及美联储降息预期减少提升美元套利交易吸引力

伊朗局势升温叠加美债收益率高企，市场撤离风险资产推升美元与油价。关注DXY、原油及美债期权布局；亚洲受能源冲击，货币与股市偏弱。

6

Apr 2026

复活节休市限制交易，伊朗和平希望令美元承压，美元/日元回落至159.40附近

美元/日元假期交投清淡回落，风险情绪因美伊“框架方案”升温、避险美元降温。油价压制日元但干预与极端净空恐触发反转，期权对冲成焦点。

6

Apr 2026

三菱日联金融集团（MUFG）劳埃德·陈：伊朗紧张局势、美债收益率走高及强劲就业数据提升美元套息交易吸引力

伊朗局势升温、美债收益率走高与降息预期降温，美元获撑并受益risk-off。2年期收益率破3.8%强化利差收益。最大黑天鹅：霍尔木兹海峡扰动推高油价，亚洲冲击更大。

6

Apr 2026

对伊朗和平协议的期待推动美元/日元下跌至159.40附近，复活节假期休市令交易量下降

美元/日元跌破159.40，复活节交投清淡兼美元转弱；美伊停火框架进展降避险需求，霍尔木兹忧虑缓和。日元逼近160或引日方干预。

6

Apr 2026

美元/印度卢比走高，油价涨势施压卢比，在印度央行政策周内从平开转跌

油价飙近每桶102美元，加上外资撤离，卢比政策周承压回落，USD/INR逼近92.85；市场紧盯RBI利率与美国ISM数据，技术面动能偏中性。

6

Apr 2026

美元走弱推动金价逼近4,700美元，但欧洲时段进一步上行空间似乎受限

黄金回升至4,700美元，焦点锁定4,600关口！中东停火谈判对阵霍尔木兹威胁，避险与高利率预期拉锯，期权隐波破25，波动交易升温。

6

Apr 2026

在印度央行政策周期间，油价上涨拖累卢比走弱，美元/印度卢比开盘持平后走高

油价冲上四周高位、外资大举撤出，卢比承压，USD/INR回到92.85附近。RBI本周决议成关键催化，关注93.00突破与期权布局。

6

Apr 2026

欧洲早盘时段，受美元走软提振，黄金上涨逼近4,700美元，但涨势受限

金价欧洲盘自4,600美元反弹至4,700，停火磋商降温避险；但霍尔木兹风险推高油价与通胀，利率偏鹰压金。4,600成多空生死线。

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