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22

May 2026

印尼央行加息50个基点至5.25%以支撑印尼盾，并预示可能进一步收紧政策

意外大幅加息50bp至5.25%，印尼央行全力护盾稳物价。若地缘风险延烧或再加息，USD/IDR波动料高企，远期做多与期权跨式、看涨价差成焦点。

22

May 2026

道指突破50,000点，美伊协议草案谈判降温油价，并改变美联储利率前景

道指先跌破4.97万，油价冲三位数与美债升息压盘；传美伊协议草案将公布，指数急弹站回5万。原油回落降通胀预期，期权对冲仍不可少。

22

May 2026

美国-伊朗协议草案报道拖累油价下滑、数据待公布，美元/加元回吐部分涨幅

美伊传出协议草案、或涉重开霍尔木兹海峡，美元指数自六周高位回落，USD/CAD冲1.3800后退至1.3775。油价回调压制加元，市场紧盯加美数据。

22

May 2026

原油回落，伊朗协议传闻令市场焦点从霍尔木兹风险转向供应前景

伊朗释出降温与协议草案信号，油价冲高回落，WTI跌破100。焦点转向霍尔木兹航道恢复，波动率回落至OVX约28，卖方期权策略更吃香。

22

May 2026

欧元区PMI反弹，通胀降温与波动缓和之际，欧洲央行关注重心转向降息

波斯湾冲突曾拖累欧元区PMI跌入收缩、成本飙升令ECB两难；如今2026年PMI回升至53.2、通胀降近2%，市场转向押注降息与复苏交易。

22

May 2026

巴尔金称美联储政策立场恰当，消费者支出保持韧性，利率路径仍取决于数据

美联储巴尔金：政策够“硬”可抗冲击，短期或按兵不动。消费者情绪差仍花钱，降息不急。VIX低波动便宜，关注CPI等数据意外，布局事件驱动期权策略。

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