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Live Updates

8

Apr 2026

2月，日本未经季节调整的经常账户录得3,933亿日元，低于预期的3,549亿日元

日本2月经常账盈余3.93万亿日元，超预期3.55万亿：日元偏强信号。或加压USD/JPY，助BoJ政策正常化预期升温，期权可布局看跌或跨式捕捉波动。

8

Apr 2026

澳元/美元攀升1.3%，在特朗普将对伊朗打击推迟两周后自0.6970升至接近0.7060

停火进展与油价急挫提振风险偏好，AUD/USD单日飙逾1.3%重返0.70上方。RBA升息预期、美国数据与FOMC纪要成后续关键。技术上看0.7120/0.6970支撑。

8

Apr 2026

欧元升破1.1650，特朗普接受为期两周的伊朗停火后欧元兑美元触及1.1670

EUR/USD亚洲早盘突破1.1650至1.1670，停火与霍尔木兹海峡消息提振风险偏好。市场盯FOMC纪要、波动率与期权策略；和平反弹或宜逢高卖。

8

Apr 2026

2月，韩国经常账户余额升至231.9亿美元，高于此前的132.6亿美元

韩国2月经常账户顺差飙至231.9亿美元，半导体出口回升驱动韩元走强；USD/KRW失守1280或看1250。可做多韩元，并部署KOSPI200看涨或韩元跨式捕捉波动。

8

Apr 2026

特朗普在Truth Social宣布，计划对伊朗发动的美军打击行动将暂停两周

特朗普宣布暂停对伊朗行动两周，前提霍尔木兹海峡全面安全开放；市场立刻risk-on：美股飙、金涨、WTI暴跌逾7%，美元指数走弱。投资者该如何布局？

8

Apr 2026

2月，韩国经常账户顺差由此前的132.6亿美元扩大至231.9亿美元

韩国2月经常账户顺差飙至231.9亿美元，外汇流入利多韩元、利空USD/KRW。半导体出口强劲推升KOSPI。BOK偏鹰稳汇，低波动降期权成本，布局韩元与韩股。

8

Apr 2026

特朗普在Truth Social宣布，对伊朗的轰炸计划将推迟两周

特朗普称美暂停轰炸伊朗两周，条件是霍尔木兹海峡全面开放；消息带动股市与黄金走高、油价暴跌、美元走弱。两周期限存变数，期权布局高波动更关键。

8

Apr 2026

道明证券预计新西兰联储将按兵不动，在经济疲弱之际吁对供应冲击保持耐心

别被市场升息预期骗了：TD Securities料RBNZ下次按兵不动、强调“耐心”应对供应冲击。经济产能不足、通胀降温与GDP仅0.2%支持偏鸽，纽元或承压。

8

Apr 2026

纽元/美元徘徊于0.5720附近，受美元避险需求及市场对纽储行预期影响，整体情绪保持中性

纽元/美元徘徊0.5720，美元避险支撑。市场等RBNZ按兵不动后的前瞻指引定调：鹰派或托纽元，耐心则续压。地缘紧张与油价高位加剧波动。

8

Apr 2026

道明证券预计利率维持不变，纽西兰央行在产能未充分运用的经济背景下敦促对供应冲击保持耐心

纽西兰央行料按兵不动、强调对供应冲击保持耐心；经济疲弱下市场押注2026升息逾75基点或偏高。交易员可留意纪要，考虑掉期“收固定”。

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