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Live Updates

10

Apr 2026

英镑仍获支撑，脆弱停火与风险情绪低迷持续，GBP/USD维持在1.3400上方

英镑/美元升破1.3400至1.3441，风险偏好转弱仍获支撑。中东两周停火“脆弱”，推升隐含波动率至9.5%。想抓大行情？期权买波动更合适。

10

Apr 2026

美国30年期国债拍卖得标收益率为4.876%，略高于此前的4.871%

30年期美债拍卖走弱，得标收益率升至4.876%高于预期，凸显长债需求不足。通胀与薪资升温，或逼美联储更久维持高利率；长债与科技股波动料放大。

10

Apr 2026

在内塔尼亚胡就黎巴嫩展开谈判后，道琼斯指数上涨300点，延续两日停火反弹

美股续弹：道指升约300点重上48,000；以黎谈判缓和情绪，但美伊停火与霍尔木兹风险未解。油价高位震荡，今夜CPI成关键。

10

Apr 2026

澳元/美元连续第四个交易日上涨，美伊停火降温预期削弱美元

AUD/USD连涨四日逼近0.7087，停火消息压低美元但随后违约令风险偏好转谨慎。周末美伊谈判成焦点；美数据分化，周五CPI或掀美元与澳元新波动。

10

Apr 2026

徘徊在158.90附近，受PCE与强劲美国数据支撑更鹰派的美联储前景，美元/日元保持坚挺

美国PCE再强推高“利率更久”预期，美元/日元坚挺158.9附近但动能转弱。160干预阴影下，期权押波动：Call冲破位、Put防回调、长跨式博大行情。

10

Apr 2026

加元反弹，美元兑加元回落至1.3800附近，但停火推动的动能似乎减弱

美元/加元本周跌近1%至1.38：美伊两周停火触发美元多头撤退、油价巨震与降息预期升温。CPI略强暂稳美元，跌势或待新催化剂。

10

Apr 2026

英镑维持支撑，GBP/USD升破1.3400，尽管中东脆弱停火与风险偏好降温

英镑/美元升破1.3400逼近1.3441！中东冲突升温、美元指数回稳；美PCE走高削弱降息预期，初请上升。市场关注英伦银行与美国CPI，短线待破阻力。

10

Apr 2026

内塔尼亚胡下令立即与黎巴嫩展开直接谈判，重点聚焦解除真主党武装并建立两国正式和平关系

内塔尼亚胡拟尽快与黎巴嫩直接谈判，聚焦解除真主党武装与建交。市场短线降风险溢价、油价或回落，但破局风险高，宜布局波动、关注黄金美元。

10

Apr 2026

美国四周期国库券拍卖收益率降至3.56%，低于此前的3.62%

4周T-bill拍卖收益率降至3.56%，避险资金涌入！疲弱非农与核心CPI回落，市场提前押注美联储更早降息，短端利率走低行情或延续。

10

Apr 2026

杰夫·余称，尽管停火后风险情绪改善，欧洲市场仍高估欧洲央行、英伦银行及瑞士央行的加息预期

停火+油价暴跌引爆欧利率重定价：虽下调，市场仍对ECB/BoE/SNB押注过度升息（BoE+80bp、ECB+50bp、SNB仍>0%）。机会：收固定、押降息期权。

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