Live Updates

31

Aug 2026

在美联储鹰派立场及伊朗紧张局势施压下，金价持稳于4,400美元附近

金价失守4,400美元后弱势反抽，美元走软难改加息预期上修压制；中东冲突推升油价与通胀粘性。技术破位偏空，谨防非农再触发下探。

31

Aug 2026

欧元/美元跌破关键趋势支撑，美元季节性走强与收益率优势拖累汇价

欧元兑美元1.1710遇阻回落，跌破1.1655趋势线及50%回撤，关注1.1520/1.1558支撑；失守或下探1.1440-1.1420。上破1.1660则重测1.1710，建议期权对冲。

31

Aug 2026

新西兰澳新银行活动前景指数8月下滑，强化纽元疲弱并降低降息预期

警惕纽元再承压：新西兰ANZ活动展望指数8月降至48.2、深陷收缩区间，强化RBNZ降息预期；策略上偏空NZD/USD，关注0.5900及互换收固定。

31

Aug 2026

8月新西兰澳新银行企业信心降温，强化市场对新西兰联储降息的押注

ANZ新西兰企业信心8月回落至53.7但仍扩张，暗示复苏动能降温；纽元或承压，RBNZ降息节奏更从容。可布局NZD/USD看跌、利率收固浮及AUD/NZD看涨。

31

Aug 2026

日本7月零售销售反弹推动市场对日本央行收紧政策的押注升温，引发日元及日本国债（JGB）波动加剧

日本7月零售环比飙升2.4%逆转前值-4.1%，消费动能强势修复：或强化日央行加息预期，推升日元及JGB、日经波动，建议配置USD/JPY看跌期权。

31

Aug 2026

日本7月工业产出增速放缓，强化市场对日本央行鸽派立场预期并拖累日元走势

日本7月工业产出同比增4.1%低于前值，制造业动能降温。市场押注日银秋季加息更趋谨慎，日元或承压；建议配置USD/JPY看涨期权、日经225看跌期权及做多JGB期货。

31

Aug 2026

贝森特称日元波动可控，关注与日本央行磋商之际美国在G20敦促就对华贸易条款施压

贝森特称日元波动仍“可控”，淡化干预风险；并施压G20重审对华贸易、遏制AI外流。策略：做空美元/日元短波动率，澳元购保护性看跌，纳指100布局日历价差。

31

Aug 2026

韩国7月工业产出增速放缓，拖累韩元并令政策前景承压

韩国7月工业产出同比增3.6%，较前值回落2.2个百分点，制造业动能降温信号明确。警惕韩央行提前转向宽松，USD/KRW看涨期权及KOSPI200近月看跌对冲波动。

31

Aug 2026

韩国7月工业产出增速大幅放缓，加剧对韩元及政策前景的压力

韩国7月工业产出环比仅增0.2%，较6月6.4%断崖式放缓，半导体需求降温引发经济降速预期；韩元、股市承压，关注降息、波动率与期权对冲。

31

Aug 2026

韩国7月服务业产出下滑令韩国央行承压，韩元面临逆风

韩国7月服务业产出环比降1.3%，较6月增0.7%骤转收缩，释放需求降温信号；韩央行宽松预期升温，韩元与短端收益率承压，衍生品布局窗口开启。

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