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Live Updates

11

Apr 2026

宋林表示，台湾3月贸易表现优于预期，带动2026年首季出口、进口走强，顺差翻倍

台湾3月贸易顺差飙至213亿美元、1Q26累积530亿美元大增124%，科技出口占比84%推升增长。GDP或再双位数，布局台股与新台币期权，同时对冲油价与科技需求回落风险。

11

Apr 2026

周五下午，标普500指数力求延续涨势，力争实现连续第八日上涨

标普500冲八连涨未果，尾盘转跌；中东停火与伊朗谈判悬而未决，VIX回升22。通胀与信心恶化，板块分化加剧，宜以期权押波动。

11

Apr 2026

黄金徘徊在4,760美元附近，在美元因伊朗-美国与巴基斯坦会谈走弱之际料周线收涨，尽管通胀升温

黄金守4,763美元周涨近2%，美元走软与美伊巴基斯坦会谈提振避险；通胀回升、降息预期延后。关键看4,750支撑与4,800阻力，突破或冲4,900。

11

Apr 2026

风险偏好提振主要货币对，美元指数回落至98.60附近，尽管CPI受能源推动的通胀仍维持高位

CPI顽固叠加中东战火推高油价，美元指数回落；欧元、英镑走强，日元仍受套息压制。市场押注联储夏末降息，期权布局与黄金成焦点。

11

Apr 2026

星展集团研究预计金管局将温和上调新元名义有效汇率（SGD NEER）政策斜率，强调抑制通胀

油价逼近100美元、出口仍强，DBS料MAS 4月14日小幅上调新元NEER斜率并上修通胀预测；交易可偏多新元、关注SORA走高与期权波动。

11

Apr 2026

干预担忧与中东原油供应受扰忧虑令美元/日元维持在160附近，限制日元反弹

美元走软下，USD/JPY仍守159.30，160关口干预阴影未散。中东风险推升油价压制日元；美日巨大利差撑套利，回调或成逢低契机。关注波动率与期权布局。

11

Apr 2026

3月，美国月度预算赤字为1640亿美元，超过预测的1567.5亿美元赤字

美3月预算赤字达-1640亿美元、超预期扩大，发债供给升压低国债、推高收益率；利率走高或压股市并挺美元。交易员可关注做空ZN、买Put与VIX。

10

Apr 2026

贝克休斯：美国石油钻井平台数量升至411座，高于前值409座

钻井平台411座、两周连升：美国页岩油供应回温信号？EIA料下半年产量逼近1340万桶/日，或压制油价上行与波动率，期权策略可预先部署。

10

Apr 2026

重燃的停火疑虑拖累道指下挫300点（0.6%），回吐涨幅并跌破48,000点

停火裂痕+通胀信号搅局，美股回落道指跌300点；科技股撑盘。油价逼近100成关键变量：关注霍尔木兹、降息预期、能源ETF与消费股配对交易机会。

10

Apr 2026

英镑/美元上涨，美国与伊朗在巴基斯坦举行会谈提振市场情绪，而美国3月通胀符合预期，缓解担忧

美伊谈判点燃风险偏好，英镑/美元升至1.3461。但美通胀粘性推高美元、英央行更早降息预期增压；波动率与空仓攀升，偏向看跌布局。

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