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13

Apr 2026

彼得·马扎尔的中右翼蒂萨党大胜维克托·欧尔班，终结其长达16年的匈牙利总理任期

匈牙利大选变天：蒂萨党终结欧尔班16年执政，福林飙升、USD/HUF逼近4年低。欧盟资金解冻憧憬升温，BUX、国债与期权策略迎重估机会。

13

Apr 2026

亚洲时段，纽约商品交易所（NYMEX）WTI原油期货上扬7.6%，逼近98美元，因特朗普推进封锁霍尔木兹海峡

特朗普扬言封锁霍尔木兹，WTI暴涨7.6%逼近98美元；全球20%能源命脉受威胁，隐波飙至65%，虚值看涨押110上方，关注93.41支撑与106.7目标。

13

Apr 2026

欧元/美元回升至1.1700附近，亚洲时段交投于1.1690附近，受看涨动能推动形成上升通道

欧元/美元跳空后反弹至1.1690，仍守9/50日EMA与上升通道，RSI约56偏多。上看1.1750/1.1834，突破瞄准1.2082；下破则看1.1500/1.1411。

13

Apr 2026

美元/日元续涨两日，亚洲时段跳空高开逼近159.85，但干预疑虑限制上行空间

美元/日元跳空逼近160与162.5新高！避险情绪、原油走强与美联储偏鹰推升美元，但日本干预阴影压制上行；期权多头+看跌保护成焦点。

13

Apr 2026

亚洲时段，欧元/日元交投于186.60附近，因美伊谈判破裂打压欧元需求，汇价维持跌势

震撼：特朗普拟封锁霍尔木兹海峡，油价飙升令滞胀忧虑升温。EUR/JPY 186.6 承压，欧元转弱、日圆偏软。市场聚焦 ECB/BOJ 分化与期权对冲波动。

13

Apr 2026

美元/瑞郎维持在0.7925附近，受美伊僵局与通胀担忧提振，自近期0.7855低点反弹

美伊谈判破裂、霍尔木兹封锁威胁推升油价与通胀忧虑，美债息上扬助美元反弹，USD/CHF止跌升0.5%至0.7925，站稳100日均线，后市偏多。

13

Apr 2026

中国人民银行将美元/人民币中间价定在6.8657，高于前值6.8654，也高于路透6.8395的预测值

央行定盘6.8657强于预期，释放稳汇率强信号：GDP与出口走弱下，“金融稳定”压过弱汇刺激。策略偏区间与卖波动率，关注RRR先于LPR，6.85-6.95震荡。

13

Apr 2026

在回吐早前涨幅后，美元指数周一亚洲时段仍维持上涨，交投于99.00附近

DXY回吐涨幅仍守99关口；美伊谈判破局、特朗普拟封锁霍尔木兹引爆避险，美元走强。美国3月CPI回升巩固“高利率更久”，降息预期再降温。

13

Apr 2026

澳元/美元低开后反弹，较亚洲时段低点回升40点，守住0.7000下方关键支撑

AUD/USD 跳空低开后止跌反弹40点至0.7030，避险升温。美伊谈判僵局与封锁霍尔木兹推升美元；油价飙升强化美联储鹰派预期。技术面关键阻力0.7032、上看0.7093。

13

Apr 2026

纽元/美元开盘走弱后仍低于0.5800，受美元走强及美伊会谈破裂影响

纽元/美元跳空走低，徘徊0.5800。美伊谈崩、霍尔木兹封锁风险推升避险美元与油价，通胀升温令美联储更鹰派；新西兰信心降，期权偏向布局0.5750/0.5700看跌。

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