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Live Updates

25

Sep 2026

纽约联储主席威廉姆斯警示持续性供给冲击，美元指数走弱，AI生产率提升仍难现端倪

威廉姆斯警示持续性供给冲击抬升通胀、劳动力非主因，美元指数回落至101.05。策略：做空美元、增配商品对冲、做陡收益率曲线，并以跨式期权博弈科技估值波动。

25

Sep 2026

WTI油价持稳于91美元上方，海湾地区出口激增叠加霍尔木兹海峡风险

WTI守稳91美元上方，海湾出口激增压制反弹、霍尔木兹风险托底；库存意外累增强化区间震荡预期。衍生品宜布局铁鹰/宽跨式，并以虚值看涨对冲上冲96美元尾部风险。

25

Sep 2026

随着干预传闻升温、市场计价英国央行收紧政策，英镑兑日元下跌

警惕美日协同干预升级：GBP/JPY虽反弹仍跌至209.45附近，日元普涨压制交叉盘。建议以虚值看跌期权、熊市价差与降杠杆应对波动及英央行预期错配风险。

25

Sep 2026

美元有望录得连续第二周上涨，受益于美债收益率攀升；交易员关注耐用品订单数据及各国央行官员讲话

美元受美债收益率上行与美联储鹰派预期推动续强，聚焦关键数据与央行讲话。策略上偏好做空欧元/美元、对冲美股，并以波动率期权布局原油黄金。

25

Sep 2026

英镑徘徊于三个月低位附近，市场重新定价英国央行与美联储政策前景

英镑兑美元1.3220附近徘徊、周跌1.27%逼近三个月低位；市场重估英央行鹰派加息路径。美元受强劲PMI及美联储再度鹰派定价提振，风险偏好承压。

25

Sep 2026

在对鹰派美联储立场的押注以及油价维持在每桶100美元附近的支撑下，欧元徘徊在三个月低位附近

欧元徘徊三个月低位，周跌0.8%；美联储鹰派重定价推升美债收益率与美元，油价高企加压。德GfK骤降拖累。策略：EUR/USD短Put、布油Call、DXY看涨及跨式博波动。

25

Sep 2026

油价反弹及美联储鹰派立场推升美元施压金价，短期反弹空间受限

金价失守4,250后弱势反抽，美元强势与加息预期升温压制无息资产。关注油价、收益率扰动：阻力4,300-4,354，支撑4,200/4,000；突破4,354或转多。

25

Sep 2026

美元涨势停滞，因美联储鹰派立场推升美债收益率，令欧元、英镑及黄金承压

美债收益率突破5.2%推升美元指数冲高回落，外汇与黄金承压。把握利率驱动机遇：配置短期限美元看涨、欧镑看跌期权，日元跨式与黄金熊市价差。

25

Sep 2026

美元走强，因美国国债收益率飙升，政策分化扩大并收紧金融条件

美债收益率飙升驱动美元走强，凸显美联储与他央行政策分化；油价重返100美元扰动通胀预期，叠加强劲数据强化“高利率更久”，金价承压下行。

25

Sep 2026

美伊就霍尔木兹海峡展开会谈缓解油价压力，债券抛售加剧，英国加息预期升温

路透称美伊磋商“退出战争”路线图：伊朗拟重开霍尔木兹、美国或解封锁但互不先行；油价回落、欧美收益率曲线熊陡，英加息预期升温，风险偏好承压。

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