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23

Jul 2026

韩国第二季度GDP增速超预期，提振市场对韩元走强及收益率上行的押注

韩国二季度GDP同比增3.7%超预期0.2pct：出口动能偏强，利率或上行、韩元趋升。策略：做空USD/KRW、买KRW看涨；空KTB/Pay Float；买KOSPI200看涨。

23

Jul 2026

韩国7月出口降温，韩国央行加息及套期保值资金流入提振韩元前景

出口高增与AI半导体景气支撑韩元结构性走强，叠加韩国央行加息趋鹰及企业远期结汇，美元/韩元上行或难持续，衍生品宜布局做空。

23

Jul 2026

欧元/美元维持在1.1400附近，油价飙升推升美联储加息概率，欧洲央行决议在即

红海紧张推升WTI近8%，欧元/美元滞留1.1400；市场上调美联储加息概率至37%，聚焦欧央行按兵不动。策略：做多波动率跨式、布局1.1250看跌，配对Euribor空头及WTI虚值看涨对冲。

23

Jul 2026

大华银行认为美元/离岸人民币将维持盘整，因下行动能减弱，6.7600目标仍在视野之内

美元/离岸人民币跌势暂歇：UOB称24小时或区间震荡6.7635–6.7755，动能转弱、下压缓解；1–3周仍偏空，目标6.7600，6.7820为关键阻力。

23

Jul 2026

美元走弱，霍尔木兹紧张局势推升油价与金价；市场静待欧洲央行决议及美国初请失业金数据

霍尔木兹风险升温压制美元，DXY回落；油金走强。关注美初请、欧央行决议与拉加德表态。策略：黄金/原油看涨、欧元跨式、日元与加元期权对冲。

23

Jul 2026

Alphabet每股收益大幅飙升，持有Anthropic股权增厚业绩；云业务增长加速，股价稳定于342美元附近

Alphabet盈利“爆表”却股价持平：EPS 9.11美元超预期，主要源于股权投资账面收益980亿美元。Q2营收1198亿美元、云业务增82%，利润率34%；期权宜卖虚值策略。

23

Jul 2026

美元/瑞郎延续涨势突破0.8100关口，多头动能维持且收益率利差支撑美元

USD/CHF重返0.8100并维持抬升结构，RSI偏多；若突破0.8149，目标0.8172/0.8200。美联储-SNB利差扩大利多美元，期权与期货多头可关注。

23

Jul 2026

欧元/日元升至186.20附近，欧元静待欧洲央行利率决议，日元持续承压

欧元/日元升至186.20附近：日元逼近多年低位持续承压，欧元静待欧洲央行利率决议与7月消费者信心回升；关注日本6月CPI及186.19阻力、186.07支撑。

23

Jul 2026

美元走弱推动金价升至两周高位，美联储暂停加息概率下降及伊朗局势紧张推升油价

黄金受美元走弱上破关键阻力、上探两周高位；地缘紧张推升油价并扰动利率定价。关注4,100支撑与4,253阻力，期权策略用于捕捉波动并对冲风险。

23

Jul 2026

布拉纳·沃伊契奇博士概述主要指数的市场周期与艾略特波浪前景及风险管理策略

Vojcic博士结合艾略特波浪与周期模型，预警标普500逼近斐波那契扩展位、趋势或衰竭；VIX季节性抬升与Put/Call升至0.85示警，建议转向限定风险价差与领口策略。

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