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31

Jul 2026

在美联储维持利率不变且美国国债收益率攀升之际，受伊朗局势紧张影响，美元跌至六周低位

中东局势升温叠加日本疑似干预，美元指数跌破100创六周新低；美债收益率飙升。美联储维持利率但内部分歧，通胀回落、就业降温，后续关注CPI与非农。

31

Jul 2026

美国就业数据料保持稳健：非农新增就业温和，薪资增速放缓，波动风险仍存

美国7月就业或温和扩张：非农预期+9.5万、失业率4.2%、薪资同比3.5%指向软着陆与低波动；警惕参与率反弹推升失业率，建议VIX看涨对冲。

31

Jul 2026

贝克休斯美国石油钻机数量小幅回升，页岩油资本纪律支撑WTI油价底部

贝克休斯美国石油钻机小升至451座，彰显页岩供给纪律延续。叠加OPEC+减产，WTI下行风险受限，或维持75-85美元区间；低隐波下偏多期权更具性价比。

31

Jul 2026

道琼斯指数小幅收高，苹果股价大跌、亚马逊强劲反弹，美国国债收益率徘徊于本轮周期高位附近

道指52,500点下震荡，苹果重挫与亚马逊大涨相互抵消；美债收益率攀高叠加偏鹰数据，波动或加剧。关键看52,000支撑与非农揭方向。

31

Jul 2026

随着霍尔木兹海峡原油运输恢复，WTI油价企稳于83美元附近；市场聚焦OPEC+产量决策与库存下降

WTI反弹至83.3美元收窄周跌幅；霍尔木兹通行仅恢复30%—35%但缓解供给焦虑。EIA库存超预期下滑叠加OPEC+增产预期，地缘溢价推升波动。

31

Jul 2026

USDCAD 跌破关键趋势线支撑，1.4160 下方看空偏向增强

USDCAD月内破位转空，双线失守打开三浪下行！关注1.3967–1.4000支撑或现技术反弹，反弹至1.4120–1.4160料为ABC修复，逢高做空为主。

31

Jul 2026

富时100指数自纪录高位回落，获利回吐与伊朗紧张局势推升油价并打压科技股

富时100月末自纪录高位回吐、11,000点受阻，资金轮动与地缘风险推升油价。机会在哪里？逢低布局英股蓝筹看涨期权，并用原油与纳指期权对冲。

31

Jul 2026

澳元企稳于0.7020附近，受中国PMI走弱及美联储鹰派表态提振美元影响

中国PMI跌破荣枯线叠加美元鹰派走强，AUD/USD坚守0.7020震荡。澳PPI回升难扭压制，关注0.6980支撑与0.7045阻力，波动率或上行。

31

Jul 2026

英镑持稳，美元干预影响消退；交易员关注英央行与美联储政策分化，押注英镑兑美元上行空间

英镑兑美元持平于1.3458，美元干预后反弹但周跌逾1.3%。美英政策分化加剧，市场博弈加息定价；技术支撑1.3365，期权建议偏多布局。

31

Jul 2026

美元/瑞郎回吐涨幅，美元因干预担忧及市场重新计价美联储加息预期而走弱

美元反弹受日本疑似干预与美财政部警示压制，USD/CHF回吐涨幅仍周线偏弱；聚焦美联储9月加息预期与瑞士CPI，期权布局美元空头、做多波动率。

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