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Live Updates

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May 2026

纽约梅隆银行（BNY）Bob Savage称，疑似干预提振日元；官员将155–158设为目标区间，并关注原油走势以遏制贬值

日元疑似遭日本当局345亿美元干预，从160急拉回156；焦点转向USD/JPY 155–158。黄金周流动性低，波动或飙升，期权隐波上行，裸卖风险激增。

1

May 2026

4月美国标普全球制造业PMI升至54.5，高于预期的54

美国4月标普全球制造业PMI升至54.5超预期，制造业扩张。经济韧性或推迟降息，“高利率更久”升温：美债收益率、美元或走强，工业原材料与铜油看涨机会浮现。

1

May 2026

此前在疑似东京干预引发抛售后，英镑/日元小幅反弹，买盘守住100日均线

英镑/日元早段跌后反弹，市场疑日本连续干预遏止日元走弱；本周料四周来首度周线收跌。技术转弱：RSI下行、MACD转负，关注211.89支撑与214.50阻力。

1

May 2026

加拿大标普全球制造业PMI在4月升至53.3，高于此前的50，显示制造业活动扩张

加拿大制造业PMI飙至53.3重返扩张，经济意外转强打脸降息预期：BoC更难转鸽，利率定价重估；加元、工业原材料金融板块迎新催化。

1

May 2026

周二澳洲联储决议前，澳元/美元持稳于0.7200附近，交易员等待可能的加息

澳元兑美元守在0.7200高位附近，市场屏息等RBA周二决议；多数料加息25bp至4.35%。通胀偏高叠加中东油价风险，美元动能不足但间歇受撑。

1

May 2026

马赫卢夫警告，若中东冲突不确定性持续，能源价格或将长时间维持在高位，路透报道

中东冲突拖累油价“高位更久”，ECB警惕通胀预期脱锚与成本推动；欧元区HICP回升至3.1%、工资增速4.7%，降息或延后，交易员需防6月“鹰派按兵不动”。

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