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4

May 2026

德国HCOB制造业PMI在4月升至51.4，略高于预期的51.2

德国4月HCOB制造业PMI升至51.4胜预期，延续IFO强势，凸显欧洲复苏韧性。投资者可谨慎乐观：关注DAX看涨期权与EUR/USD多头，欧元或受ECB按兵不动提振。

4

May 2026

土耳其4月月度消费者价格指数（CPI）上涨4.18%，高于经济学家预测的3.28%

土耳其4月CPI按月飙4.18%超预期，通胀难降温。央行或更久高利率甚至再加息；里拉承压、USD/TRY看涨受惠，BIST100宜用保护性看跌对冲，波动率料升。

4

May 2026

三菱日联：日本或已入市干预，动用约5至6万亿日元，令美元/日元从160附近回落至157附近

美元/日元从160急挫至157下方，疑日本暗中干预、规模约5–6万亿日元。后市关键看美联储转鸽与日银加息；套息仍撑美元，宜用看跌期权防突袭。

4

May 2026

欧洲开盘前，美元/日元在疑似日元干预引发急挫至155.70后回升至156.80附近

突发150点闪崩后，USD/JPY回到156.80附近；疑似日本当局干预令日元波动飙升，期权隐含波动率破13.5%。利差撑美元，策略转向做多波动应对。

4

May 2026

大华银行策略师称，尽管霍尔木兹担忧推动布伦特油价升至每桶126美元以上，但布伦特仍录得自2025年12月以来最大单月跌幅

布伦特4月创去年12月以来最大单月跌幅，虽因霍尔木兹紧张短冲126美元。美伊僵局与封锁推高波动，价差与期权策略成焦点，同时需求走弱添变数。

4

May 2026

4月，瑞典制造业PMI升至57.2，高于此前的56.3

瑞典4月制造业PMI升至57.2，扩张加速释放经济转强信号。降息预期降温，克朗或走强、股市偏多。关注EUR/SEK看跌及OMX30看涨期权机会。

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