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5

May 2026

4月，新西兰ANZ商品价格指数从增长4.1%转为萎缩0.8%

纽西兰ANZ商品价指数4月转跌0.8%（前值+4.1%），叠加中国PMI跌破50与GDT下滑，出口与纽元承压。策略：4-6周NZD/USD看跌期权或做空纽元期货。

5

May 2026

格奥尔基耶娃警告通胀正在上升：中东冲突长期化或推高油价至125美元，令全球产出恶化

IMF警告：若中东战事拖到2027年，油价或飙至125美元推高通胀、预期脱锚，利率“更高更久”成主旋律；投资者需强化对冲与组合保护。

5

May 2026

在澳洲联储（RBA）利率决议前，交易员预计澳元/美元徘徊在0.7160附近，连续第二日延续跌势

AUD/USD 连跌至 0.7160：RBA 升息至 4.35% 概率 74% 仍挡不住避险美元。伊朗冲突推油价与波动升温，VIX、跨式与看跌期权成焦点。

5

May 2026

纽元/美元维持承压于0.5860附近，伊朗紧张局势与美联储预期提振美元

纽美连跌守0.5860，0.5925阻力再现。美伊紧张推升油价与美元、压低风险偏好；市场转鹰撑美债收益率，RBNZ或收紧成纽元缓冲。

5

May 2026

英镑/日元在日元避险需求下回落0.23%，测试100日均线后盘整，市场消化干预影响

英镑/日元跌至212.72、贴近50日均线，日元需求升温。跌破100日恐测210.81/209.64；升破213上看214.01/215。干预风险高，期权波动飙升，回调或成布局机会。

5

May 2026

地缘政治导弹袭击推高原油价格，引发市场猜测布伦特或攀升至115美元附近

原油周一反弹：布伦特重上112美元、WTI约103美元。海湾冲突与霍尔木兹风险推升供应忧虑；库存紧、SPR低、波动率高。但通胀与需求转弱或限涨。

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· VTMarkets Ltd 注册于塞浦路斯共和国，注册号为 HE436466，注册地址为 Archbishop Makarios III, 160, Floor 1, 3026, Limassol, Cyprus。

V.T.M. Integrated Services Limited 于英国注册成立,公司注册号为17416220。注册地址:C/O Greenwoods Legal Services Limited, Queens House, 55-56 Lincoln's Inn Fields, 伦敦,英国, WC2A 3LJ。V.T.M. Integrated Services Limited 代表VT Markets集团内其他持牌实体提供服务,包括但不限于支付服务。本实体不提供受监管的金融产品,亦不提供交易服务。

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