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5

May 2026

德国商业银行称，澳洲联储将利率上调至4.35%，优先应对通胀风险，但澳元仍维持疲弱

别被加息“鹰派”骗了：RBA利率升至4.35%却面临滞胀与澳元走弱。2026通胀降至3.4%，焦点转降息时点；建议部署年末AUD/USD看跌期权或价差。

5

May 2026

巴西Fipe IPC通胀4月放缓至0.4%，低于前值0.59%

巴西4月FIPE通胀降至0.4%（前值0.59%），降息预期升温：利率期货走低、年末Selic或向9.25%靠拢；雷亚尔或转弱，USD/BRL看5.20；股市受惠。

5

May 2026

星展银行拉迪卡·拉奥表示，投资组合资金外流及油价拖累印度卢比走弱，推动美元兑卢比（USD/INR）逼近95.00关口

卢比再贬，USD/INR逼近95！外资持续流出叠加避险升温，油价守稳100美元上方推高通胀与燃油风险；央行拟增外储、引资，交易员锁定期权与短期对冲策略。

5

May 2026

金价在从一个月低点反弹后升破4,550美元，但鹰派押注与美元走强限制涨幅

黄金自一个月低点反弹重返4,550美元，但美元走强与年内再加息概率升至35%压制上行。中东紧张推升油价与波动，反弹更像卖出机会。

5

May 2026

道明证券预计：在日本财务省干预引发美元/日元下跌3%后，美元/日元将在2026年第二季度于157.00附近盘整

日圆干预后USD/JPY跌3%，市场视160为警戒天花板。TD料2026年二季在157横摆，波动降温利于卖出期权赚权利金；美日利差支撑，152-153难破。

5

May 2026

德意志银行分析师称，受油价与美国国债收益率上升影响，标普500指数从历史新高回落

油价与美债收益率齐升拖累风险资产，标普500自高位回落0.41%但仍较3月低点涨13.5%。能源逆势领涨；工业、材料走弱，VIX飙，可用期权对冲。

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V.T.M. Integrated Services Limited 于英国注册成立,公司注册号为17416220。注册地址:C/O Greenwoods Legal Services Limited, Queens House, 55-56 Lincoln's Inn Fields, 伦敦,英国, WC2A 3LJ。V.T.M. Integrated Services Limited 代表VT Markets集团内其他持牌实体提供服务,包括但不限于支付服务。本实体不提供受监管的金融产品,亦不提供交易服务。

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