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Live Updates

6

May 2026

美伊停火提振风险偏好，黄金上涨1%，从4,500美元低位反弹至4,560美元

金价自4,500美元低点反弹近1%至4,560：停火提振风险偏好、收益率回落撑盘。非农在即、波动率偏低，跨式布局博突破；关注4,600/4,500关键位。

6

May 2026

星展银行的拉迪卡·拉奥解读人民党在西孟加拉的斩获、阿萨姆邦连任，以及泰米尔纳德邦、喀拉拉邦的政治变局

BJP多州选举扩张，政策延续利好基建、铁路与国防；但民粹福利推高州赤字至3.4%并拉大利差。原油与美债高企，建议用期权、利率期货对冲波动。

6

May 2026

随着油价回落，美元/加元徘徊在1.3620附近，空头主导下仍维持在1.3700下方

美元/加元窄幅震荡靠近1.3620：油价回调与美元偏强压制加元。周五美加就业或引爆行情，技术偏弱但看涨期权策略押向1.39–1.40。

6

May 2026

华侨银行策略师称，中东紧张局势推高油价引发市场震荡，亚洲货币走弱

中东局势升温推油价破98美元，亚洲货币集体承压：美元走强、收益率攀升、风险偏好降。比索卢比泰铢最敏感，新元相对抗跌；期权隐波或再飙升。

5

May 2026

欧元/美元走强：美国数据降温与天然气成本走低压低美债收益率，美元承压

油价回落拖累美债收益率，欧元短线反弹至1.17；但中东局势与美欧利差压制上行。通胀高企、央行偏观望，汇市或高波动震荡，期权跨式受捧。

5

May 2026

美国股市升破49,000点，油价回落与首季业绩报喜显示企业盈利带动升势

油价回落、财报普遍超预期推高美股，道指站上4.9万、纳指破2.5万；霍尔木兹风险或被低估，建议布局原油看涨与指数波动策略。

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