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6

May 2026

特朗普警告：伊朗协议取决于霍尔木兹海峡通行权；市场维持风险偏好，美元走软

特朗普称伊朗若履约将结束“史诗之怒”并解封霍尔木兹；否则更猛烈轰炸。市场risk-on令美元走弱，但属二选一事件：谈崩恐推油价、VIX与美元急反转。

6

May 2026

英镑走强，因美元走弱；英国数据强劲引发市场对英镑/美元看涨期权兴趣

英镑/美元升至1.3630，美元因美伊接近MOU、风险偏好回暖而走弱；英国PMI上修支撑英镑，但苏格兰与威尔士选举增添变数，聚焦ADP。

6

May 2026

日元波动再起引发干预讨论，美元/日元剧烈震荡，利差套利交易员转趋谨慎

USD/JPY急挫至155，日元飙升引爆“日方干预”猜测；利差与套息诱人但风险陡增。投资者宜降杠杆，借期权对冲突发数日元级急跌。

6

May 2026

银价因停火希望与美元走弱飙升逾6%；交易员权衡工业需求与期权因素

白银周中飙逾6%逼近78.32美元！美元指数回落、传美伊接近停火提振风险偏好；技术面77.59支撑稳，突破81.04或上看85.69。

6

May 2026

美元走软提振欧元：市场寄望美伊局势降温，但欧洲央行降息预期限制中长期上行空间

欧元一度涨近0.8%逼近1.18，受美伊缓和与欧元区PPI超预期提振；但服务业仍收缩、ECB倾向降息且Fed偏鹰，后市欧元或承压，期权对冲。

6

May 2026

华侨银行认为脆弱的美伊停火或推高亚洲货币走势分化，令石油进口国货币承压，并支撑科技相关货币

停火削弱油价但“脆弱暂停”未除风险溢价：IDR、INR、PHP、THB或承压；AI科技链TWD、KRW更稳，MYR偏坚。策略：NDF做多TWD做空INR，淡化美元影响。

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V.T.M. Integrated Services Limited 于英国注册成立,公司注册号为17416220。注册地址:C/O Greenwoods Legal Services Limited, Queens House, 55-56 Lincoln's Inn Fields, 伦敦,英国, WC2A 3LJ。V.T.M. Integrated Services Limited 代表VT Markets集团内其他持牌实体提供服务,包括但不限于支付服务。本实体不提供受监管的金融产品,亦不提供交易服务。

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