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12

May 2026

纳斯达克100指数从29,500回落，交易员关注28,000支撑位及21日EMA

纳指100六周飙19%后转入回调。若跌破周一低点，料回测ET区与28,000支撑；短线或先反弹，继而四小时走ABC至144–233EMA定方向。

12

May 2026

《红皮书指数飙升及美国强劲数据削弱6月降息押注，促使对冲策略转向》

红皮书同比飙至9.6%点燃警报：消费强劲叠加CPI与非农超预期，通胀风险升温，6月降息概率降。宜用SOFR期权、VIX与纳指100看跌对冲波动、警惕科技回调。

12

May 2026

2025年4月美国通胀意外升温推高美元；2026年CPI降温令市场焦点转向美联储降息

美国4月CPI按年3.8%超预期、核心2.8%升温；0.6%按月放缓。美元与加息预期走强，但2026通胀降至3.1%转向降息押注，策略关注SOFR、美元看跌与VIX对冲。

12

May 2026

道明证券认为，在英国政局变化与政策分歧背景下，欧元兑英镑与加元料将保持坚挺

想捕捉欧元交叉盘机会？TD Securities 看好欧元兑英镑、加元：英国大选后政治噪音压镑，ECB 或于2026加息、BoC 按兵不动，EUR/GBP 与 EUR/CAD 偏强。

12

May 2026

美国通胀高于预期，核心物价坚挺，推动美元走强并强化利率“更高更久”押注

美国4月CPI按年跳升3.8%超预期，核心通胀也走高；能源与住房推升物价、美元转强。降息梦碎？年末加息概率升，波动与油价风险加剧。

12

May 2026

美国核心CPI意外走高引发降息预期重新定价，提振美元并加剧股市波动

美国4月核心CPI再超预期，通胀黏性强！降息或再延后，美元转强、成长股承压；利率期货与期权策略需转鹰派，提防VIX升温。

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