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15

May 2026

在美数据强劲支撑“利率更高、维持更久”押注下，美元指数触及两周高位

美元指数三连涨冲两周高98.83！美国通胀与零售数据撑“高利率更久”，12月加息机率升至42%；技术面站上200日线，关注99关口及油价与中东风险。

15

May 2026

荷兰合作银行Every认为，美中谈判将成为推动人民币、科技股与油市波动的催化剂

中国成地缘政治与全球金融枢纽。特朗普或携富豪CEO访京，炒作“尼克松2.0”。市场押注美中“大交易”或小协议，牵动关税、科技、台海、伊朗、欧清算与人民币国际化。

15

May 2026

英国央行首席经济学家皮尔警示：通胀仍高于目标、劳动力市场走软，或需尽快小幅加息

鲍勃警惕通胀预期失锚：二轮效应或弱于2022，但通胀仍高、GDP有韧性，料英伦银行倾向尽快小幅加息25bp；SONIA前端重定价，英镑获温和支撑。

15

May 2026

美元/加元连涨三日，美联储加息预期推升美元，油价限制涨幅

USD/CAD三连升逼近1个月高位，美元受地缘与美零售数据提振；油价因中东风险支撑加元。FedWatch升息概率跳升，后市谁主沉浮？

15

May 2026

欧元/美元跌势延续，受美国零售销售提振美元、市场下调美联储降息预期

欧元/美元三连跌，零售数据强劲推升美元指数至10天高位。美联储2026降息机率归零压制欧元，关注意大利通胀与美工产，支撑1.1647、阻力1.1759。

15

May 2026

道指期货瞄准50,000点；通胀升温与美联储新主席人选预期推高对冲需求

道指期货冲破5万点引爆关注！PPI飙升、CPI偏热推高利率预期，降息几乎落空；标普纳指创新高，美元走弱、油价回落，就业初请回升。

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