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18

May 2026

欧洲TTF天然气价格升破50欧元/兆瓦时，中东风险加剧引发LNG供应忧虑

中东紧张升温推高欧洲气价，TTF破50欧元/MWh。波斯湾运输若受扰，亚洲转现货抢LNG，JKM溢价走阔。欧盟库存与注气放缓，冬季曲线或被低估。

18

May 2026

欧元/美元下行动能减弱，利率预期与持仓因素抑制美元升势

欧元兑美元从1.18跌至1.16后跌势放缓；尽管风险偏好降温、情绪指标走弱，欧元仍获加息预期支撑。美元多仓降温，趋势拐点或看纪要再定价。

18

May 2026

美国30年期国债收益率维持在5%以上，全球债市抛售加剧市场对美联储收紧政策的押注

30年期美债收益率四连站上5%，熊市陡峭化加剧！市场重估2026-2027或再加息32bp，紧盯20年拍卖、TIC与纪要；美元偏强，科技股受压。

18

May 2026

在伊朗外交希望支撑下银价企稳，收益率限制涨幅；尽管需求回升，后市仍走跌

美伊外交降温令美元回落，白银跌后稳于76.55附近反弹0.8%。但美债收益率高企、通胀与供需压力仍压制，期权对冲或成马股民关注焦点。

18

May 2026

英镑承压：英国政治不确定性与国债暴跌促使MUFG看空英镑/瑞郎

英国政局不稳拖累英镑与英债：伯纳姆入议会、斯塔默或遭挑战引发左倾与借款扩张忧虑。MUFG看淡英镑，偏好做空GBP/CHF或买看跌期权避险。

18

May 2026

美元/瑞郎维持在高位附近，伊朗谈判缓解美元需求，美联储与瑞士央行政策差距支撑上行

USD/CHF四连涨后高位整固，伊朗谈判与霍尔木兹预期提振风险偏好削弱美元避险。技术偏多守0.7845，突破0.7877看0.7930。利差主导，策略偏牛市价差或卖出价外PUT。

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