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26

May 2026

英镑走强推动英镑/日元上探214.50阻力位，因市场憧憬美伊达成协议油价回落

中东谈判憧憬降温油价、提振风险偏好，GBP/JPY走强逼近214.50阻力。英日利差逾500bp助多头；上破可续涨，失守212.36宜用期权对冲。

26

May 2026

墨西哥经常账户转为占GDP 3.1%的赤字，加剧比索压力与波动风险

警惕：墨西哥经常账户一季度由顺差1.55%急转GDP占比-3.1%赤字，出口与侨汇走弱加大比索压力；USD/MXN波动率飙升，宜布局做多波动或买入价外看涨期权。

26

May 2026

墨西哥经常账户首季转为赤字，助长比索波动与套利交易平仓风险

墨西哥经常账户首季惊现158.78亿美元赤字，按季恶化235.8亿，恐撼动“超级比索”。USD/MXN波动飙升、利差交易回补风险升温，期权对冲需求急增。

26

May 2026

丰业银行指出美元疲软、风险偏好升温；油价下滑，金价测试4,500美元支撑位

假期交投淡却风险偏好爆棚：美股期货破顶、油价跌5美元，美元全线走弱。铜价反弹，金价死守4500美元；失守恐再挫800美元，期权对冲宜提早部署。

26

May 2026

美元跌破99，因美伊协议谈判缓解油价与美联储担忧

美伊协议憧憬降温地缘风险，美元指数跌破99、油价回落释通胀压力；聚焦明日消费者信心等数据引爆波动。策略：DXY买Put看98.56，或EUR/USD做跨式押波幅。

26

May 2026

美元/离岸人民币徘徊于6.7820支撑附近，中国PMI提振人民币，美国PCE限制美元走势

美元兑离岸人民币逼近区间下沿，6.7820成多空决战点！财新PMI走强与中间价偏强压制美元，但美PCE黏性托底，短期仍在6.7820-6.8220盘整，警惕低波动后突变。

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