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28

May 2026

美元/加元再创新高，美国—加拿大收益率差扩大及避险情绪升温打压加元

美伊紧张升温、避险回潮，美元/加元守在1.38上方逼近新高！美加利差扩大与油价回落压制加元；技术面RSI超买，短线料1.38–1.39震荡。

28

May 2026

韩国央行鹰派维持利率不变，韩元收窄跌幅，美元/韩元从1,510回落

美元/韩元冲高回落：BoK按兵不动但转鹰，两委员赞成加息；上调GDP与通胀预测。Kospi急跌后收窄。韩元较REER折价逾11%，能源冲击未解。

28

May 2026

美国首季GDP增速下修至1.6%，拖累美元并强化市场对美联储降息预期

GDP首季下修至1.6%低过预期，消费与投资转弱。美元承压、美债或走强，联储更偏谨慎；配合通胀降温与失业升，黄金及波动对冲成焦点。

28

May 2026

南非储备银行维持利率在7%，通胀持续且经济增长乏力

南非储备银行维持基准利率7%不变，延续偏紧政策控通胀。通胀5.8%高企、增长仅0.9%受压，利差缩小削弱兰特吸引力；机会：远期对冲，兰特或上看20.50走弱。

28

May 2026

俄罗斯央行外汇储备减少151亿美元至7,538亿美元，推高卢布波动并强化加息押注

俄罗斯央行外储一周骤降151亿美元至7538亿，疑似干预撑卢布。加息预期升至70%，USD/RUB隐波跳升至26%；波动交易或迎来跨式、宽跨式布局窗口。

28

May 2026

中欧加息押注降温施压捷克克朗；市场焦点转向波兰通胀

中东欧转“没那么鹰”，克朗支撑转弱；波兰通胀或再抬头、降息空间受限，匈牙利则在重定价降息。EUR/CZK偏上行，衍生品布局欧强克弱。

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