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25

Aug 2026

美国2年期国债拍卖收益率降至4.204%，降息预期强化提振需求

2年期美债拍卖中标收益率降至4.204%，止盈利率下移凸显需求稳健，并强化美联储年内降息预期，短端定价重校准，SOFR期货与曲线陡峭化策略受益。

25

Aug 2026

美元/加元徘徊于1.3835附近，受油价下跌影响，加拿大准备自9月8日起对美国商品加征关税

美元/加元徘徊1.3835，油价回落与美元偏软对冲。加拿大9月8日关税窗口临近或推升波动；布局短期限期权、跨式捕捉突破机会。技术承压。

25

Aug 2026

英镑盘整：收益率利差收窄限制英镑兑美元上行，秋季财政声明风险迫近

英镑/美元陷1.3600-1.3700震荡，利差收窄及BoE沟通稀薄压制上行；政治风险溢价回落但财政扰动待《秋季声明》。策略：短期卖波动，临近10月转多波动。

25

Aug 2026

特朗普称美国海军已清除霍尔木兹海峡水雷，缓解原油风险溢价并降温波动率交易

特朗普称美军清除霍尔木兹海峡水雷并实施“零容忍”，供应扰动风险溢价或回落，油价与隐含波动率承压；可布局熊市价差或波动率策略，并防突发升级风险。

25

Aug 2026

美元/日元维持窄幅区间震荡，市场加码押注日本央行9月收紧政策，日元表现落后于G10货币同业

日元疲弱令美元/日元陷158-159.5震荡；市场仅计入日本央行9月收紧20bp，定价偏低存上修风险。策略：买入日元看涨或跨式，提前布局。

25

Aug 2026

欧元/美元持稳于1.16附近，德国IFO景气指数及GDP表现坚挺；市场已计价欧洲央行加息，上行空间受限

欧元/美元受德国IFO与GDP终值超预期提振维持1.16高位，但已略高于公允价值且RSI逼近超买；加息预期几近充分计价，关注1.17阻力与1.1650/1.16支撑。

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V.T.M. Integrated Services Limited 于英国注册成立,公司注册号为17416220。注册地址:C/O Greenwoods Legal Services Limited, Queens House, 55-56 Lincoln's Inn Fields, 伦敦,英国, WC2A 3LJ。V.T.M. Integrated Services Limited 代表VT Markets集团内其他持牌实体提供服务,包括但不限于支付服务。本实体不提供受监管的金融产品,亦不提供交易服务。

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