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31

May 2026

澳洲制造业PMI优于预期，降温市场对澳储行降息押注，提振澳元前景

澳洲5月制造业PMI升至50.7胜预期，经济韧性超想象。RBA降息动机更弱，债券收益率或上行；铁矿石走强支撑澳元，股市周期板块可望受惠。

31

May 2026

中国PMI释放喜忧参半信号：制造业陷入停滞，服务业重返扩张区间

中国5月制造业PMI回落至50.0、动能停滞，非制造业重返扩张50.1。复苏分化或推高波动：澳元与商品承压，布局AUD/USD看跌期权、跨式策略捕捉行情。

31

May 2026

中国制造业PMI持平于50，市场权衡刺激政策押注、人民币承压与波动率交易

中国5月官方制造业PMI守在50临界点：增长未复苏、政策压力升温。市场押注降准等宽松，或令人民币偏弱、铜待刺激再起，期权波动交易机会浮现。

31

May 2026

中国非制造业PMI小幅回升至扩张区间，提振股市、大宗商品及澳元市场情绪

中国5月非制造业PMI回升至50.1、重返扩张并超预期，暗示内需韧性。或利好中国股市与主题ETF期权、澳元与铜价；同时支撑油价，适合卖WTI虚值看跌。

30

May 2026

美元因中东风险偏好回升的希望而走软，欧元与英镑走强，黄金再创新高

美伊停火与霍尔木兹进展刺激risk-on，DXY跌至98.90；核心PCE持平但美元净空升温。欧英货币反弹、油价88受压，黄金冲4,550。下周重磅央行讲话与非农定方向。

30

May 2026

标普500指数微升创新高，AI领涨科技股抵消罗马尼亚无人机风险与对冲争议

标普500连涨7日创新高7,599点，AI概念股戴尔与NetApp强势领涨，但动能趋弱、偏离均线或引发5%-8%回撤；VIX低位，地缘风险升温，逢低用期权对冲布局。

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