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Jun 2026

美元持稳，美伊谈判与密集数据考验美联储前景，潜在主席人选沃什受关注

美元6月初走稳但暗藏大波动：美伊协议与密集数据左右油价、联储预期。PCE升温、失业率料4.3%。建议买波动率；协议落地偏空美元，就业强则反杀。

1

Jun 2026

金价跌破4,500美元，美元走强与美联储鹰派立场抑制避险需求

金价自两周高位回落跌破4,500美元，美元走强与美联储再加息预期压制。中东冲突升级、油价反弹抬升通胀。关注ISM与非农，技术偏空。

1

Jun 2026

英国5月制造业PMI升至53.9，提振英镑并打压英国国债

英国5月制造业PMI升至53.9续扩张，降息预期降温。英股工业板块与富时100看涨、英镑或走强；债券承压，10年期英债收益率或上行。

1

Jun 2026

欧元区私人贷款4月增长3%，在欧洲央行按兵不动之际巩固信贷稳健增长趋势

欧元区4月私人贷款同比增3%符合预期，信贷与通胀齐稳，ECB短期料按兵不动。股市波动或降、利率曲线趋平，欧元兑美元可望获支撑。

1

Jun 2026

欧元区制造业PMI好于预期，提振欧元与股市，德国国债收益率小幅走高

欧元区5月制造业PMI升至51.6、胜预期，扩张动能延续。利好欧股与欧元：偏多Euro Stoxx 50看涨期权、看好EUR/USD上探1.10；同时做空Bund，留意VSTOXX短冲后逢高沽。

1

Jun 2026

欧元区M3低于预期，通胀走软推升降息预期，欧元承压

欧元区4月M3仅增2.7%逊预期，流动性降温叠加通胀回落至1.8%，ECB转鸽、Q3前降息概率升；欧元偏弱，EURIBOR期货与期权对冲成焦点。

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