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2

Jun 2026

澳洲经常账户赤字创十年新高，出口下滑与中国需求走弱拖累

澳洲出口转弱、铁矿石纠纷致出货大跌，经常账户赤字创十年高，占GDP 3.7%。中国需求疲软拖累大宗商品，AUD/USD料续跌，可留意看跌期权或做空期货。

2

Jun 2026

欧元/日元攀升至186附近，市场加码押注鹰派欧洲央行，日元逼近干预区间

EUR/JPY 回升至186上方，市场押注ECB更鹰派、欧元区HICP或推高利率预期；日元续弱逼近160引发干预阴影。策略偏多，期权与止损控风险。

2

Jun 2026

德国商业银行：欧元区5月通胀几乎未影响欧元/美元，霍尔木兹风险主导市场走势

欧元区5月通胀初值仅小幅低于预期，难撼EUR/USD；期权隐波降至两年低位。真正“黑天鹅”在霍尔木兹海峡，油价与地缘风险成主线。

2

Jun 2026

瑞士4月进口下滑，强化市场对瑞士央行鸽派预期，瑞郎及股市承压

瑞士4月进口骤降2,094m，需求降温成经济急刹车信号；通胀仅1.2%推高SNB转鸽与降息预期。策略：做多EUR/CHF看涨、买SMI看跌对冲。

2

Jun 2026

瑞士4月出口下滑，引发市场对瑞郎前景与波动性的疑虑

瑞士4月出口环比降至22,286m，需求转弱或压低瑞郎，EUR/CHF与USD/CHF上行概率增。SMI权重股外销承压，宜用看跌价差对冲；隐波回升助跨式策略。

2

Jun 2026

瑞士4月贸易顺差收窄，令瑞郎走软预期升温，市场料瑞士央行政策将维持不变

瑞士4月贸易顺差收窄至30.98亿瑞郎，出口动能转弱讯号浮现。若欧元区通胀升温限制降息，EUR/CHF或走高；SMI震荡加剧，SNB偏鸽延续。

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