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1

Jul 2026

意大利制造业PMI不及预期，引发对股市及欧元的担忧

意大利6月HCOB制造业PMI降至52.2低于预期，扩张放缓引发增长见顶担忧；可布局MIB看跌、做空欧元、买入VSTOXX，配对空意大利多德国。

1

Jul 2026

美元走强，辛特拉央行论坛临近；日元干预风险上升，黄金回落

宏观数据与央行官员密集发声在即，市场降温后或迎剧烈波动。美元受偏鹰政策支撑走强，日元干预风险升温；欧元、英镑与黄金承压。投资者如何布局？

1

Jul 2026

受美联储与加拿大央行政策分化提振，尽管超买信号显现，美元/加元仍守在15个月高位附近

USD/CAD逼近15个月高位1.4248，仍处上升通道；强劲非农与美联储偏鹰、加央行按兵不动及油价走弱支撑多头，但RSI超买警惕回撤风险。

1

Jul 2026

欧元/英镑维持在0.8600上方，拉加德与贝利即将在辛特拉发表讲话

EUR/GBP小幅横盘守住0.8600，静待辛特拉拉加德与贝利讲话定向。央行立场分化叠加英国政治不确定性，隐含波动率处低位，建议布局跨式做多波动，关注0.8597/0.8657破位。

1

Jul 2026

澳洲联储大宗商品指数小幅上行，价格涨势趋于平台期，澳元上行空间料有限

RBA商品指数6月同比升至16.9%，增速边际加快但趋平台；高位支撑澳元却动能受限，持仓拥挤警惕回撤，建议期权对冲、卖波动率及押注利率高位延续。

1

Jul 2026

瑞典制造业PMI升至58.3，伴随加息预期升温，提振瑞典克朗及OMXS30多头情绪

瑞典6月制造业PMI升至58.3、扩张加速，强化经济利多并抬升加息预期；看好SEK相对EUR走强、工业股受益，建议布局EUR/SEK下行与OMXS30看涨期权。

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