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31

Aug 2026

在鹰派美联储押注及美伊紧张局势打压下，金价企稳于4,450美元附近

金价周一反弹受阻4,450美元，跌破200日均线令偏空延续；9月加息概率升至61%提振美元压制金价。美伊冲突升温增波动，关注4,400支撑与期权对冲。

31

Aug 2026

比利时第二季度GDP停滞，提振市场对欧洲央行降息押注并加剧欧元下行风险

比利时二季度GDP环比零增长，动能停滞拖累欧元区前景：或推动欧洲央行9月激进降息，短端利率品种走强。关注Euribor期货、利差交易及欧元看跌期权策略。

31

Aug 2026

希腊失业率小幅降至7.9%，缓解欧洲央行降息压力

希腊7月失业率降至7.9%，劳动力市场边际修复强化经济韧性。欧央行降息压力趋缓，欧元短线获支撑；希德利差约90bp，关注利差收敛及希腊银行股、ETF期权机会。

31

Aug 2026

美元走强推动美元/日元突破160关口，沃什推升美债收益率，中东局势紧张加剧通胀风险

沃什言论引爆美元：美元/日元突破160推升美债收益率、股市动能转弱；衍生品上调美联储9月加息至60%、日银收紧超80%，油价重返90，建议做多波动与通胀对冲。

31

Aug 2026

黑森州CPI8月升至3%，助推欧洲央行鹰派立场并强化市场对冲押注

黑森州8月CPI同比升至3%创阶段高点，通胀粘性或迫使ECB维持偏鹰立场。策略：做空Bund期货、买入EUR/USD看涨期权，并以DAX看跌期权对冲权益回撤。

31

Aug 2026

阿联酋呼吁缓和霍尔木兹局势，无人机拦截事件推升原油及航运市场风险溢价

霍尔木兹紧张再升级：阿联酋呼吁先降温、恢复航运并推务实方案；军方拦截伊朗无人机或抬升地缘风险溢价，原油与海运保险衍生品波动加剧。

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V.T.M. Integrated Services Limited 于英国注册成立,公司注册号为17416220。注册地址:C/O Greenwoods Legal Services Limited, Queens House, 55-56 Lincoln's Inn Fields, 伦敦,英国, WC2A 3LJ。V.T.M. Integrated Services Limited 代表VT Markets集团内其他持牌实体提供服务,包括但不限于支付服务。本实体不提供受监管的金融产品,亦不提供交易服务。

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