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17

Jul 2026

美国出口价格通胀降温：6月指数同比上涨10.2%

美国6月出口价格指数同比升10.2%，较前值回落1个百分点但仍双位数；出口端通胀上行动能减弱，价格压力边际缓释，降温信号初现。

17

Jul 2026

美国6月建筑许可下降3%，强化降息预期并加剧对住宅建筑商的压力

美国6月建筑许可环比降幅扩大至-3%，许可储备回落显著，指向地产投资降温与经济动能走弱。降息预期升温，美债收益率或下行，期权布局宜偏多TLT、偏空XHB。

17

Jul 2026

加拿大5月外资证券投资净流入不及预期，引发对加元需求的质疑

加拿大5月外资组合投资仅79亿美元，较预期缺口73.1亿：跨境需求降温恐压制加元并推升股债波动，衍生品宜偏防御配置、强化对冲。

17

Jul 2026

美国建筑许可发放量不及预期，进一步释放楼市活动降温信号

美国6月营建许可环比升至136.7万套但不及预期，住房景气降温信号强化。高融资成本或压制供给管线，利率下行预期升温；关注国债/ITB期权及木材空头。

17

Jul 2026

美国新屋开工数超预期达142.7万套，推动美债收益率上行，利好住宅建筑商股及美元交易

美国6月新屋开工年化142.7万套大幅超预期，显示地产与经济韧性；或推升美债收益率、支撑美元，并利好建材与住宅建造商板块。关注利率与期权交易。

17

Jul 2026

美国6月进口价格上涨，强化“利率高位维持更久”的收益率押注及美元走强预期

美国6月进口价格指数环比升0.3%，较预期跌0.7%反转，输入性通胀粘性强化“高利率更久”预期；债券承压、美元趋强、股指波动抬升，衍生品对冲交易窗口开启。

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