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20

Jul 2026

美元/加元回落，目标指向50日均线支撑；期权市场聚焦1.3970关键枢轴位，收益率利差释放信号

USD/CAD冲高未稳1.4130回落，逼近50日均线与1.3970关键支撑。守稳或反弹至1.4150阻力；失守或下探1.3850。IV约6.2%，跨式/期权策略把握利差驱动波动。

20

Jul 2026

欧元/加元收窄跌幅，德国PPI走软及油价走强支撑加元

欧元受德国PPI回落拖累走弱，油价因中东风险溢价飙升支撑加元，EUR/CAD承压；关注虚值看跌期权布局，若油价续涨或下探1.5800。

20

Jul 2026

随着美联储进入静默期，欧元/美元焦点转向欧洲央行，能源风险左右欧元前景

美联储静默期削弱催化，欧元/美元焦点转向欧洲央行：9月加息已定价，后续路径待明。若霍尔木兹扰动推升能源通胀，鹰派指引或抑制下行。

20

Jul 2026

大华银行指出欧元/美元可能进入盘整阶段且略偏下行，1.1405支撑位守住仍可维持上行空间

欧元/美元短线延续盘整偏弱，UOB测24小时区间1.1405–1.1450；1–3周守住1.1405仍偏多，目标1.1520，失守1.1390/1.1410或下探1.1210，警惕波动率压缩与美债利率扰动。

20

Jul 2026

英镑回升，市场聚焦美伊紧张局势与英国数据，期权交易员严阵以待波动加剧

英镑兑美元探底回升但仍承压：中东冲突推升油价与通胀预期，强化美联储偏鹰定价；英国政局更迭叠加就业、CPI在即，建议跨式捕捉波动并用短期限看跌对冲。

20

Jul 2026

德国PPI降至1.8%，出厂价格通胀放缓提振欧洲央行降息预期

德国6月PPI同比降至1.8%引爆市场：上游去通胀强化，ECB降息空间扩大。建议配置短端Euribor、做多Bund、买入EUR/USD看跌，并用DAX领口与日历价差控险。

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