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21

Jul 2026

英镑下挫，中东局势紧张推升美元，收益率上行及英国政局搅动加剧波动

中东局势升温推升避险美元与美债收益率，英镑兑美元跌至1.3371、DXY报101.14；市场押注美联储9月加息偏强，叠加英政局与通胀风险，建议期权对冲下行与波动。

21

Jul 2026

在中东局势紧张推动下，美元/瑞郎小幅走高，测试0.8150上限，期权押注突破

中东局势升温推升美元需求，USD/CHF上探0.8150关键阻力但动能降温。关注0.8084/0.8000支撑，期权宜防波动率挤压：区间卖跨或铁鹰，突破转牛市价差。

21

Jul 2026

道指在财报提振下反弹340点，关税与油价上涨加剧通胀担忧

道指反弹0.7%止跌，半导体与财报超预期提振；伊朗局势推升油价与通胀风险，叠加对加关税或抬升VIX。关注52,000支撑，期权价差与VIX对冲成焦点。

21

Jul 2026

渣打银行警告称：受季风偏弱及厄尔尼诺影响，印度CPI上行风险加大，农作物产出面临威胁

渣打警示印度季风偏弱叠加厄尔尼诺推升FY27通胀与农业减产风险；建议增配农产品期货多头、做陡OIS/国债利率，并配置FMCG看跌期权对冲。

21

Jul 2026

美元/日元突破163关口：避险美元走强与日本干预风险并存

美元/日元突破163创1986年以来新高，避险美元韧性叠加日元疲弱；美就业、通胀降温弱化加息预期。警惕日本财务省干预引发急挫，建议期权对冲并做多波动率。

21

Jul 2026

在美国通胀降温及澳大利亚就业数据影响前景之际，澳元/美元企稳于0.7000上方

AUD/USD回落仍守0.7000，美国通胀与就业降温压制美元；关注澳洲就业数据催化波动。策略：短期限买0.7020看涨、事件前做多跨式，并以0.6950虚值看跌对冲风险。

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