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22

Jul 2026

英镑在1.3400下方企稳，美元盘整；市场对英国央行降息押注升温拖累英镑/美元

英镑/美元连跌后于1.3360反弹但仍受制1.3400，跌破50/200日EMA示动能转弱。英国薪资降温增降息预期；美元获地缘与美联储预期支撑，关注1.3350破位风险与期权对冲。

22

Jul 2026

中东袭击事件扼住航运要道，WTI油价逼近85美元，市场聚焦EIA库存数据

WTI受中东冲突推升逼近85美元，霍尔木兹、曼德海峡受阻加剧供应风险。EIA库存在即，波动率或飙升；关注85.95阻力、80支撑，期权策略应对。

22

Jul 2026

澳元/美元在0.7010附近企稳，澳洲联储加息预期升温；澳大利亚就业数据公布前市场紧张情绪加剧

AUD/USD逼近0.7010心理阻力，RBA加息预期升温叠加地缘风险。周四就业数据或引发50-80点波动，建议以跨式/宽跨式做多波动率并配看涨期权。

22

Jul 2026

片山警告称，在美伊紧张局势加剧之际，美元兑日元逼近高位，日元获支撑

日本财务大臣警示必要时将入市干预，拒评目标汇率；美元/日元逼近163.15高位叠加美伊紧张，干预与避险回流风险升温，建议以短期限虚值看跌期权对冲。

22

Jul 2026

央行将人民币中间价定得弱于路透预期，上调美元兑人民币上行风险

中间价上调至6.7933且高于路透估值，释放容忍人民币偏弱信号；PMI承压背景下或支撑出口，衍生品端建议布局USD/CNY看涨期权并严控止损。

22

Jul 2026

美元/日元维持在163上方，利差支撑美元，日元干预风险仍存

美元/日元站稳163关口、逼近四十年高位；政策利差支撑套息交易，但日本干预传闻与中东能源扰动抬升波动率，建议以期权结构对冲尾部风险。

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