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25

Jul 2026

CFTC数据显示投机者扩大日元净空头头寸，短线轧空风险上升

CFTC数据显示日元非商业净持仓降至-152.1K，空头拥挤触及过度延伸阈值；警惕政策与干预引发短线逼空，宜以日元看涨期权对冲并收紧USD/JPY止损。

25

Jul 2026

CFTC数据显示：美联储会议前交易员降温看涨押注，黄金投机性多头持仓回落

CFTC显示黄金非商业净持仓降至18.39万手，投机多头温和降温。金价仍守2,420美元，关注美联储会议前波动抬升，期权宜牛市价差，期货止损设2,380下。

25

Jul 2026

全球市场严阵以待美联储、英国央行与日本央行决议，美元维持强势，波动性上升

政策密集周引爆波动溢价：美联储、英央行、日央行料维持利率不变，关注措辞与数据扰动；欧元、日元及黄金原油或迎隐含波动率扩张。

25

Jul 2026

新西兰元反弹，但在0.5800附近遇阻，纽元下行偏向仍延续

纽元/美元反弹逼近0.5800与50日均线但动能衰减，中期仍偏空，关注0.5762破位风险；RBNZ宽松支撑看跌期权持仓占优，衍生品宜偏空布局。

25

Jul 2026

贝森特就诺克斯堡黄金储备作出保证，金市震荡之际再掀独立审计呼声

口头背书难掩诺克斯堡黄金逾50年缺乏实质外部审计；在美债超39万亿美元、金价高位背景下，透明度缺失或推升避险溢价，利多黄金及衍生品对冲配置。

25

Jul 2026

金银比率达70凸显白银低估，提振均值回归交易兴趣

金银比价回归信号再现：长期协整均衡约59.65，现扩至70:1指向白银相对低估；叠加供需缺口与工业需求，建议衍生品做多白银、套利做空黄金。

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