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27

Jul 2026

美国CPI回落降低加息概率，市场静待美联储决议及关键PCE通胀数据

CPI降温缓释短期通胀，但美联储指引不足致政策不确定性犹存、美元获支撑；市场聚焦FOMC决议与PCE数据，或引爆前端利率、汇市及风险资产波动。

27

Jul 2026

每周技术前瞻：追踪美元指数（DXY）、G10主要货币对、黄金与原油，比特币与以太坊成焦点

抢抓夏末流动性下行窗口：聚焦DXY101.50、EUR/USD1.0950、黄金2400/2380、BTC突破68000、WTI守76-78关键位，制定周度交易计划与风险管理策略。

27

Jul 2026

脆弱的伊朗停火协议令原油风险溢价维持高位，美联储、英国央行与日本央行按兵不动预期在即

伊朗停火脆弱推升油市尾部风险，美电网负荷紧绷；二季度GDP与标普财报季牵动预期。央行或按兵不动但美联储偏鹰，科技债融资与缩表风险升温。

27

Jul 2026

英镑小幅走高，受美元走软影响；市场寄望美伊外交缓和且英国央行政策前景保持稳定

英镑兑美元升至1.3345，受美元指数回落及美伊缓和预期提振。英债受财政风险与油价冲击拉扯；调查显示英国央行或维持利率3.75%。

27

Jul 2026

英镑/日元回落，英镑在英国央行决议前走弱，日元仍维持弱势

央行周临近，GBP/JPY回落至217.84，油价下挫压低英债收益率并降通胀预期。宜布局短期限跨/英镑看跌，警惕BoE偏鸽；日元偏弱限制跌幅。

27

Jul 2026

中东欧市场关注捷克和匈牙利GDP数据、波兰通胀或跃升，波兰兹罗提与匈牙利福林走强受青睐

月末交投清淡下，捷克、匈牙利二季度GDP及波兰通胀将点燃中东欧资产：PLN/HUF受益套息回归，CZK或走弱至EUR/CZK上破24.200。

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