Live Updates

28

Jul 2026

巴西IPCA-15通胀低于预期，强化市场对下调Selic利率的押注并引发市场仓位调整

巴西IPCA-15仅环比0.06%，大幅低于预期0.19%，通胀下行再获验证。市场或重估更鸽派Selic路径：做多DI 2027/2028，配短期USD/BRL看涨与Ibovespa看涨捕捉利率与股市机会。

28

Jul 2026

美元走强令金价回落，伊朗乐观预期推动油价下跌，市场静待美联储决议

美元走强拖累金价回落至4034美元，油价连跌但通胀压力犹存；美联储决议前波动或骤升，35%加息风险促使期权跨式与价差对冲成关键。

28

Jul 2026

中东欧利率大幅重新定价，ING预计兹罗提与福林走强、克朗走弱

中东欧利率曲线剧烈重定价、外汇尚未充分跟随，衍生品战术窗口开启：做多兹罗提/福林（EUR/PLN

28

Jul 2026

印度6月累计工业产出增速加快至5.8%，提振市场乐观情绪

印度6月累计工业产出增速升至5.8%（前值5.1%），动能边际增强，或提振Nifty50风险偏好；降息预期后移利于中性策略，警惕大宗波动压缩利润。

28

Jul 2026

随着首尔股市下挫、KOSPI指数大跌11%，SK海力士永续债在Hyperliquid上暴跌20%

Hyperliquid上SK海力士USDC永续突发20%闪崩后快速修复，领先现货15%重挫与Kospi跌11%；凸显非交易时段流动性真空与强平风险，建议降杠杆并关注永续-ADR价差套利。

28

Jul 2026

市场预计日本央行将维持利率于1.00%，在关注日元走势与通胀的同时保留紧缩倾向

悬念在于下一步：日本央行料7月31日按兵不动维持1.00%，延续偏紧。通胀回落但预期坚挺、日元承压，收益率曲线陡峭指向中性利率或近2%。

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