Live Updates

29

Jul 2026

印度金价小幅走低，央行购金支撑黄金衍生品市场看涨预期

印度金价周三小幅回调至每克12,389.67卢比，或成衍生品布局良机：央行创纪录增持与降息预期构筑支撑，建议期货及轻度虚值看涨期权分批做多。

29

Jul 2026

英镑对美元小幅走高，市场静候美联储决议，加息概率成焦点

英镑/美元亚市震荡上行至1.3300，受美元走软与议息前仓位再平衡推动。市场定价：本次按兵不动为主，即刻加息隐含概率30.5%，9月加息概率76.6%。

29

Jul 2026

随着油价飙升推升通胀担忧，金价在美联储决议前持稳于4,000美元附近

金价六日低点后稳守4,000美元关口，美元回落与油价走强推升通胀预期，市场押注7月/9月加息概率上行；技术偏空，建议短期期权对冲下行并捕捉波动。

29

Jul 2026

在美联储决议临近且中东紧张局势提振美元需求之际，欧元/美元维持在1.1390附近

EUR/USD守稳1.1390，美元在FOMC前走弱但地缘风险限跌。衍生品暗示9月加息概率高。建议买入短期限跨式/宽跨式，并以布伦特看涨期权对冲油价冲击。

29

Jul 2026

澳大利亚第二季度CPI回落0.1%，强化市场对澳洲联储降息预期并拖累澳元走弱

澳洲二季度CPI环比意外降0.1%较预期低0.8个百分点，通胀骤弱触发RBA转鸽预期，澳元承压、国债期货走强，权益估值或获重估。

29

Jul 2026

澳大利亚第二季度CPI低于预期，缓解市场对澳洲联储加息押注并拖累澳元

澳洲二季度CPI同比3.8%显著低于预期4.1%，通胀降温超预期引发政策转向押注：RBA加息压力减弱，利率期货偏多、澳元承压，澳股有望受益反弹。

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