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30

Jul 2026

比利时7月CPI飙升推动市场押注欧元区利率将在更长时间内维持高位

比利时7月CPI环比升至0.63%显著加速，强化欧元区通胀粘性与ECB高利率预期；建议做空短久期债、买入欧元看涨期权，并布局HICP通胀支付互换。

30

Jul 2026

日本央行料将维持利率不变，交易员关注日元波动指引及10月加息信号

日银周五维持政策利率不变几成定局，焦点转向前瞻指引；若可信纳入10月加息或提振日元。衍生品宜以USD/JPY期权/价差布局波动。

30

Jul 2026

欧元兑日元企稳，德国第二季度GDP超预期，市场关注通胀数据及日本央行决议

德国GDP与部分州通胀超预期，提振欧元区增长预期，EUR/JPY自早盘回落后回升至187.35附近；市场聚焦德国HICP初值、东京CPI及日本央行利率决议风险定价。

30

Jul 2026

美元/加元反弹，美国GDP与PCE数据公布在即；中东局势紧张推升油价反弹

USD/CAD止跌反弹至1.4060，美元受美GDP与PCE数据预期托底。中东风险推升布油至93美元，加央行偏鸽与贸易摩擦压制加元，上行或延续。

30

Jul 2026

美联储维持利率不变，沃什令前景蒙上阴影，美债收益率曲线陡峭化、美元走弱，市场对其公信力存疑

美联储按兵不动却逻辑缺失，叠加长端抛售致曲线陡峭化、美元走弱；政治干预疑虑推升通胀预期。策略：重仓做空DXY、押注2s10s熊陡，并配置黄金期权对冲风险。

30

Jul 2026

英国央行料将维持利率于3.75%不变，政策不确定性下英镑跌至四周低位附近

英银“超级星期四”料第五次按兵不动于3.75%，投票或维持7-2；通胀回落、薪资降温但掉期仍押加息75bp。GBP/USD承压，期权跨式与SONIA短期期权或捕捉再定价波动。

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