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31

Jul 2026

日本零售销售不及预期，削弱市场对日本央行收紧政策押注，令日元承压

日本6月零售同比仅增0.5%远逊预期，消费动能骤降：料BOJ加息预期降温、宽松延续，日元承压；关注USD/JPY看涨、JGB期货与日经225牛市价差机会。

31

Jul 2026

东京CPI意外上行提振日元，交易员押注日本央行加息概率上升

东京7月CPI与核心通胀双超预期、粘性抬升，触发日元强势反攻，USD/JPY跌破160。OIS加息押注升温，期权偏多日元；建议对冲下行并关注黄金承压。

31

Jul 2026

东京核心核心通胀率7月升至2%，强化市场对日本央行加息的押注

东京核心-核心CPI7月同比升至2%并高于前值1.9%，潜在通胀动能回升，市场加大对日本央行加息定价：利多日元、推升JGB收益率、压制出口股估值。

31

Jul 2026

东京7月CPI升至2%，强化第三季度初通胀压力

东京7月CPI同比升至2%超预期，较前值1.7%显著加速，释放三季度初通胀抬头信号；作为全国通胀先行指标，潜在价格压力仍存。

31

Jul 2026

日本失业率维持在2.5%，令日本央行继续朝政策正常化方向推进

日本6月失业率持平2.5%印证劳动力市场紧俏，为央行政策正常化释放信号；利率看多收益率、做空JGB/付固定互换，外汇做多日元，股指期权对冲回撤风险。

31

Jul 2026

美元兑日元因大量抛售重挫5日元，市场聚焦日本央行决议及美国数据

美元/日元盘中急挫至159.50附近，跌2.31%并失守50日EMA；成交放量且疑似集中抛盘。美GDP与核心PCE偏弱压制美元；市场转向日本央行决议及东京CPI，关注年内加息路径。

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