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4

Aug 2026

加拿大贸易顺差创四年来新高，黄金和铜需求推动出口创纪录增长

加拿大6月贸易顺差飙至38.6亿加元创近四年高，出口连增并破纪录；黄金铜拉动、能源回落。二季度净出口支撑GDP，设备进口走强。

4

Aug 2026

黄金反弹，霍尔木兹海峡重启通航传闻打压美元与美债收益率，市场静待美国就业数据

霍尔木兹海峡或重开触发风险偏好回升，美元与原油走弱、收益率下行，金价自低点反弹至4,087。JOLTS回落压低9月加息概率；关注ADP/NFP与区间策略。

4

Aug 2026

费城联储主席保尔森称通胀仍偏高，不确定性下货币政策应保持适度紧缩

重磅信号：费城联储保尔森称潜在通胀仍偏高，政策将维持温和限制性且按兵不动；前瞻指引受不确定性掣肘，利率波动或偏低、曲线趋平，能源衍生品宜限定风险。

4

Aug 2026

美国6月工厂订单下滑，强化降息预期并加剧各市场波动

美国6月工厂订单环比降0.3%逆转前势，显著低于预期，折射制造业需求降温与动能分化；降息预期升温，利率下行交易与对冲配置窗口开启。

4

Aug 2026

墨西哥7月消费者信心上升，加剧对墨央行降息的压力并支撑比索套息交易

墨西哥7月消费者信心指数跃升至45超预期，需求韧性凸显。或掣肘央行激进降息、利差维持，比索偏强。关注USD/MXN看跌期权及EWW看涨期权布局。

4

Aug 2026

贝森特暗示就霍尔木兹海峡重开展开磋商，地缘政治溢价回吐令WTI走低

美国财长称霍尔木兹海峡重开谈判或近两日落定，油价与OVX应回落；建议押注地缘溢价出清，布局熊市看涨价差、借方看跌价差，严设止损防挤空。

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