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5

Aug 2026

法国兴业银行认为，美日支撑日元举措实为贸易加权调整，以抑制亚洲美元走强

法国兴业称美日协同稳日元属美国贸易加权美元策略，意在约束美元对亚洲货币升值；单轮干预难逆趋势，隐波或跳升，期权跨式/看跌价差宜警惕。

5

Aug 2026

疲弱美国就业数据削弱美元并降温加息预期，金价跃升至4,185美元上方

就业转弱与油价回落共振，美元承压推升金价涨逾2.5%，一度突破4200后回落。FedWatch显示9月加息概率下调，市场聚焦非农及关键阻力4398。

5

Aug 2026

渣打称：印度货币政策委员会维持回购利率在5.25%不变，偏鸽立场释放长期暂停信号

印度MPC一致维持回购利率5.25%并守“中性”，措辞转鸽：下调FY27通胀、上调增长。卢比或低波动横盘；策略看空波动卖短期期权，利率宜收固定，企业用远期与领式套保。

5

Aug 2026

葡萄牙失业率降至5.3%，提振欧元走强并收窄债券利差

葡萄牙二季度失业率降至5.3%，环比回落0.8个百分点，劳动力市场趋紧。或削弱市场对ECB激进降息预期，支撑欧元走强、利差收敛及PSI上行。

5

Aug 2026

丹麦国家银行暂缓买入丹麦克朗，利差持续下欧元兑丹麦克朗维持锚定水平

丹麦央行7月暂停干预联系汇率，6月仅回购7亿克朗；EUR/DKK或由资金流主导、利差-0.40延续。交易员押低波动，企业趁弱锁远期。

5

Aug 2026

英镑兑美元走高，美元走软、油价下跌，交易员静待美国非农就业数据

英镑兑美元连涨至1.3450，受美元走弱、油价回落与美联储加息预期降温提振；关注NFP与中东局势。守住1.3379偏多，期权策略瞄准1.3500。

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