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7

Aug 2026

由于美国非农就业数据疲弱打压美元，且新西兰联储鹰派立场支撑纽元，NZD/USD走高

纽元兑美元反弹至0.5890，受美国非农大幅逊预期拖累美元及新西兰联储鹰派支撑。技术面守住0.5884，目标0.5909，建议回调做多并严控止损。

7

Aug 2026

美国就业增长降温且劳动力参与率下滑，加剧美联储政策两难并推升SOFR波动率交易

美国7月非农转负、前值下修，三个月均值降至2万，参与率触底。美联储双重使命再平衡，暂停为基线但加息风险仍存；建议SOFR期权与曲线陡峭化对冲转鸽。

7

Aug 2026

欧元/美元维持在1.1560附近，中东风险与美国数据主导美元前景走势

欧元/美元淡市逼近1.1560阻力，受中东风险与美国就业走弱牵引，美元对数据敏感升温。WTI守77美元。下周CPI/PPI与欧元区GDP或触发波动。

7

Aug 2026

疲软的美国就业报告削弱市场对美联储9月加息的押注，两年期美债收益率下行、美元走软

7月非农转弱触发降息预期再定价：美元承压、2年期美债收益率下挫8bp。聚焦CPI与9月FOMC，利率曲线或现牛市陡峭化交易机会。

7

Aug 2026

英镑升至三周高位，疲弱美国非农就业数据削弱市场对美联储加息押注

美国非农意外转负令加息预期降温，英镑兑美元冲击1.3500三周高位；然沃什称通胀高企仍或9月加息，建议运用跨式、铁鹰对冲波动。

7

Aug 2026

随着9月美联储加息预期降温并促使市场焦点转向CPI数据，金价周度涨幅扩大并突破4,300美元关口

黄金周涨创1月以来新高并重返4,350美元上方，弱就业数据压低9月加息预期。关注7月CPI催化；建议守4,300做多或买入看涨期权，严控止损。

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