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2

Mar 2026

在澳大利亚，第四季度企业毛营业利润环比增长5.8%，超过3.6%的预测值

澳企四季度利润环比飙升5.8%超预期，展现强韧。暗示RBA降息更难、收益率或上行。利好澳股与澳元，关注ASX200、国债期权及AUD/USD看涨布局。

2

Mar 2026

日本Jibun Bank制造业PMI优于52.8的预期，2月数据公布达53

日本2月制造业PMI达53高于预期，扩张加速。领先信号指向盈利改善，支撑日元走强压低美元/日元，利好日经，亦加大央行3月收紧与债券收益率上行压力。

2

Mar 2026

在亚洲交易时段，受美以对伊朗发动袭击引发避险情绪影响，标普500指数期货下跌逾1%，跌至6,820点。

美以突袭伊朗致哈梅内伊身亡，市场瞬间变脸：标普500期货跌超1%，油金齐涨、霍尔木兹海峡受阻，VIX或破30；期权对冲与能源、国防成焦点。

2

Mar 2026

由于中东紧张局势推高美元、打击风险情绪，纽元兑美元下跌至接近0.5955

中东冲突升温，避险买盘推高美元，纽元/美元跌至0.5955。RBNZ偏鸽、原油高企压制纽元。波动率飙升，跨式/宽跨式与能源、DXY期权成对冲利器。

2

Mar 2026

澳大利亚TD-MI月度通胀指标下降0.2%，扭转了上月0.2%的涨幅

澳洲2月TD-MI通胀意外转负0.2%，从上月+0.2%骤变。降息预期升温：债券期货看涨、澳元或走弱；股市波动加剧可用跨式布局。

2

Mar 2026

USD/瑞郎在0.7700附近徘徊，交易员权衡中东战争升级及周末对伊朗的袭击

中东战火升级引爆市场！美元/瑞郎升至0.7695，投资者紧盯伊朗遭袭后的避险资金流向与周一ISM制造业PMI；美国PPI超预期，美联储或3月按兵不动。

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