Live Updates

2

Mar 2026

欧洲央行政策制定者马丁·科赫在《华尔街日报》采访中呼吁做好准备，以便迅速上调或下调利率

欧洲央行官员警告：利率或将双向急转！不确定性升温令降息概率上升，但油价与霍尔木兹风险或推高通胀促加息，市场波动料加剧。

2

Mar 2026

德国商业银行的文森特·施塔默博士表示，由油价带动的通胀上升将使欧元区GDP增速下降超过0.1个百分点

油价飙升正拖累欧元区：德国商业银行称通胀被推高，GDP增速或少超0.1个百分点；若油价冲100美元冲击更大，后续回落或现追赶反弹。

2

Mar 2026

2月，美国标普全球制造业PMI升至51.6，高于公布时预期的51.2

意外利好：美国2月制造业PMI升至51.6，高于预期，显示扩张加速、通胀压力可控；工业材料或受益。低VIX环境下，可考虑指数看涨或卖短期看跌。

2

Mar 2026

美国石油股大涨，随着美以与伊朗紧张局势升级及霍尔木兹海峡风险上升，交易员纷纷涌入黄金

伊朗欲封锁霍尔木兹海峡致供应恐慌：WTI飙超7%创阶段新高，XOP/OXY等盘前大涨。OVX冲55+期权更贵；增产与释储难解短期紧张。

2

Mar 2026

2月，加拿大标普全球制造业PMI升至51，高于此前的50.4

加拿大制造业PMI升至51创18个月新高，连续扩张！降息预期降温、加元或走强，TSX与能源股受益，交易者可关注期权与利率仓位调整。

2

Mar 2026

在中东紧张局势再起之际，Manthey称LME铝价触及一个月高位，带动地区升水上涨

中东紧张推升LME铝价3.5%至2550美元。霍尔木兹风险、保险费翻倍抬高运费与升水，欧洲美国最脆弱；冶炼厂氧化铝仅够3-4周，久扰恐减产。

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