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3

Mar 2026

美元/瑞郎升向0.7800，美元强势延续，受中东冲突及强劲美国PMI提振

中东冲突升级推升避险美元，USD/CHF涨至0.7800。美ISM暗示通胀顽固、美联储或延后降息；瑞士数据转弱或更快降息。策略：买0.80看涨期权。

2

Mar 2026

股市缩小跌幅，比特币反弹；IG的克里斯·博尚表示，交易员正谨慎重新评估地缘政治风险

地缘风险未扩散，股市跌势趋稳，VIX回落至21。油价巨震后降温，美股成暂避险。比特币守住6万并重返6.5万，贵金属走弱助推期权看涨布局。

2

Mar 2026

英镑在 1.3400 附近走低，中东冲突引发避险情绪，推动美元走强

中东冲突点燃避险潮，美元走强压低英镑/美元至1.3400附近；DXY升破106，隐波飙升推高期权成本。英国通胀与油价冲击加剧下行，考虑看跌对冲。

2

Mar 2026

汇丰资产管理认为新兴市场正转向结构性牛市，称南非财政状况和信誉改善

新兴市场拐点来了？汇丰点名南非：财政转盈、债务见顶、政策更可信带动股市暴涨。但2026兰特走弱、通胀粘性与商品降温，期权与互换成对冲利器。

2

Mar 2026

风险资产暗示动能正在转变：比特币和印度股市看涨，而大宗商品与贵金属则出现明显分化

风险偏好在抬头：比特币与印度股市现看涨结构。Nifty守住24500仍偏多，突破26325或指向27500。Bank Nifty看61700。黄金白银分化，或在2026年3月转弱。

2

Mar 2026

在美伊冲突背景下，美元走强推升美元/加元，因加元走弱且油价大幅飙升

美伊冲突引爆避险！美元需求推升美元/加元至1.3680。油价受霍尔木兹风险飙升支撑加元。波动或扩大，可用期权/VIX对冲，关注美劳动力与通胀数据。

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