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3

Mar 2026

在美伊紧张局势下，黄金交投于5,330美元附近，受避险买盘支撑，静待美联储表态

中东冲突升级推升避险，黄金冲上5330美元。油价走高重燃通胀，降息预期降温。留意美联储官员鹰派讲话与央行持续买盘：波动或更激烈。

3

Mar 2026

第四季度日本资本支出增长6.5%，超过3%的预期，表明投资活动更为强劲

日本Q4资本支出暴增6.5%，远超预期3%，释放企业信心飙升信号！股市再冲高有底气，央行宽松承压，日元走强与债券波动机会浮现。

3

Mar 2026

2月日本货币基础同比下降10.6%，不及预期的10.2%降幅

日本2月货币基础同比降10.6%，弱于预期，释放更强“收紧”信号：日元或走强、股市承压、JGB收益率上行，波动升温，期权对冲机会浮现。

3

Mar 2026

日本第四季度资本支出下降10.6%，未达预期，此前预测为增长3%

日本Q4资本支出暴跌10.6%，远逊预期增3%，敲响衰退警报！企业缩手或拖累GDP与日经225，日本央行转鸽，日元承压，USD/JPY看涨。

3

Mar 2026

第四季度日本资本支出增长6.5%，超过3%的预测，显示投资活动强于预期

日本Q4资本支出暴增6.5%，远超预期3%，叠加核心通胀2.8%与春斗加薪，央行转鹰概率升：日股看涨、日元走强，警惕国债收益率飙升风险。

3

Mar 2026

1月，日本失业率升至2.7%，在劳动力市场变化之际略高于2.6%的预期

日本1月失业率2.7%高于预期2.6%，暗示劳动力市场降温。低通胀与工资乏力令日央行更鸽派：日元或走弱、日经受益，期权波动上升催生套利机会。

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