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3

Mar 2026

德国商业银行的阮秋兰表示，黄金一度跃升至5,400美元上方，随后在利率重新定价中回落至周五水平

金价冲破5400美元后迅速回落：市场更怕油价推升通胀、迫使央行维持高利率，美元走强压制黄金。关键看央行表态，期权波动高、机会与风险并存。

3

Mar 2026

欧洲时段，受避险情绪推动美元走强，欧元/美元跌至1.1585附近

地缘冲突升级引爆避险！欧元/美元跌至1.1585逼近三月低位；美元指数升破99.4、股指期货走弱。美联储维持利率概率上升，压过欧元区通胀利好。

3

Mar 2026

道明证券表示，市场押注减少与货币政策委员会（MPC）对国内数据的关注形成对比，这使得英国央行3月降息仍可能发生

市场下调英央行3月降息押注至40%，但通胀回落与增长疲弱仍支撑一降。中东推高能源增添变数；可用SONIA期货与英镑期权布局。

3

Mar 2026

欧洲交易时段，受中东紧张局势推动的连续四日上涨后，黄金下跌2.5%至5,180美元

黄金冲高5400后急跌至5180，四连涨终结。中东冲突推避险，但通胀回升削弱降息预期；GVZ飙升，期权定价大波动，关注5000支撑与5065阻力。

3

Mar 2026

诺德亚的科伊武和斯文森称，2月欧元区通胀接近欧洲央行目标，能源风险改变前景

欧元区2月通胀接近ECB目标却高于预期；中东冲突推升油气价成最大变数，或迫使市场降息预期后移。利率交易可押鹰派、买波动或反向收固定。

3

Mar 2026

WTI在大涨6%后突破75美元，因美伊冲突担忧威胁霍尔木兹海峡供应

油价突然飙升：WTI涨超6%站上75美元，逼近年内高位。霍尔木兹或关闭、沙特设施遇袭推升风险溢价；期权波动冲高，关注EIA库存与SPR释放信号。

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