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3

Mar 2026

星展银行经济学家拉迪卡·拉奥警告称，在冲突风险下，对进口能源的依赖将使印度卢比持续承压

中东冲突推高油价，印度85%原油靠进口，卢比或持续走弱。油价每涨10美元：经常账户赤字+0.35%GDP、通胀+20–30bp；选举或限传导，建议对冲。

3

Mar 2026

在中东冲突升级之际，投资者寻求避险，推动美元走强，英镑下跌至1.3300

中东冲突升级引爆避险潮，美元走强压制英镑跌至1.3300；油价推升通胀忧虑，美联储官员释放政策分歧，英央行降息概率骤降，关键支撑1.3290。

3

Mar 2026

尽管地缘政治风险令市场保持谨慎，美元走强与美国国债收益率上升施压，黄金走低

避险与强美元拉锯：金价从高位回落至约5060/4950，美债收益率上行压制；中东冲突托底。降息预期降温、波动偏低，期权布局看涨或看跌价差。

3

Mar 2026

XAG/USD下跌近10%，受美元走强和美国国债收益率上升影响，尽管局势紧张，避险需求仍受到抑制

白银单日暴跌近10%至80.68美元，美元与美债收益率走强压制不生息资产；中东冲突推升油价与降息不确定。技术面楔形临破，关注72.32/64.08支撑。

3

Mar 2026

新西兰GDT价格指数升至5.7%，高于前值3.6%

GDT乳价指数飙升至5.7%，需求强劲推升全脂奶粉与新西兰元看涨预期；期权隐波或走高，但警惕中国需求逆转，务必设止盈。

3

Mar 2026

丰业银行表示美元/日元小幅走高；因日元表现不佳，仅优于除加元外的大多数G10货币，财务省警告抑制涨幅

美元/日元突破2月高点，剑指159中段。日元仍偏强但警惕财务省“最高警惕”信号，干预风险推升波动与期权隐波；关注春斗、非农、美国通胀。

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